Skip to main content

Commons Chamber

Volume 960: debated on Thursday 18 January 1979

The text on this page has been created from Hansard archive content, it may contain typographical errors.

House Of Commons

Thursday 18th January 1979

The House met at half-past
Two o'clock

Prayers

[Mr. SPEAKER in the Chair]

Oral Answers To Questions

National Finance

European Monetary System

asked the Chancellor of the Exchequer if he will make a statement concerning the operations to date of the European monetary system.

The EMS has not yet started to operate.

Do not the complicated delays over the system show how prudent it was for Her Majesty's Government to remain outside the system, and how foolish it was of the Opposition to advocate our entry? Does my right hon. Friend agree that if the system went ahead on the conditions that the French are now asking—namely, the phasing out of MCAs—it would mean an increase of farm gate prices in the United Kingdom of at least 30 per cent. to 40 per cent.? As the Opposition have already advocated the phasing out of the green currencies, they would be causing immense inflation that would be against the interests of housewives and consumers as a whole and the entire nation.

Beyond saying "Yes, Sir", which I say with the greatest pleasure, I add that it is true that developments since the summit conference was held in December have shown that the views of the Shadow Foreign Secretary, as he expressed them on 19th December, were as fatuous as they were anti-British. It is true that if certain proposals for the phasing out of MCAs were accepted and the common price was allowed to rise, that could have a damaging effect on the cost of living in Britain and on British food prices. I have no doubt that my hon. Friends will be referring to that in debate whenever they have the opportunity. My right hon. Friend the Secretary of State for Foreign and Commonwealth Affairs has already made it clear in Brussels that there can be no question of the British Government agreeing to a resolution of the current dispute over MCAs leading to an increase in food prices for Britain.

Has the right hon. Gentleman given any assurances to the EEC Finance Ministers that he will keep sterling within the present band of the basket of European currencies?

No. I made it clear when I spoke to the House on this matter before Christmas that the Prime Minister and I have given assurances to our Common Market colleagues that we intend to maintain the present stability of sterling, which has been stable within a narrower band than is permitted even inside the EMS, against not a basket of European currencies but a basket composed of the currencies of the countries with which we trade.

To what extent are we now pursuing policies that are virtually indistinguishable from those that we should have to pursue if we were members of the EMS? Given the overwhelming case made against our joining the EMS, is not the case against those parallel policies equally damaging?

To quote the poet Marvell on love:

"But ours so truly parellel Though infinite can never meet."
The fact that we are pursuing the stability of sterling does not mean that we are pursuing policies that could lead to Britain joining the exchange rate regime of the EMS. The important difference is that the parity grid system of the EMS would commit countries with currencies not divergent from the general trend to lose reserves to make the deutschemark more competitive. That does not seem to be in Britain's interests. That is a general view.

Am I right in assuming that the British Government can block these proposals by the French?

There are no specific proposals by the French. The French Government have certain objectives on MCAs which have been resisted by a number of other Community countries. We have made clear that there can be no question of our agreeing to the increase of the common price as a result of that, and we have the power to prevent it.

Pay Settlements (Government Action)

asked the Chancellor of the Exchequer how many employers he has subjected to sanctions to date in the current pay round.

asked the Chancellor of the Exchequer whether he has decided to impose sanctions as a result of other wage settlements subsequent to his statement relating to the Ford Motor Company.

Only the Ford Motor Company was ever subject to discretionary action for a breach of the current pay guidelines, and the Government have announced that discretionary action in support of pay policy has now ceased.

Why are the Government proposing new action against employers through the price code? Employers are being bludgeoned into paying excessive pay claims. Does the Minister think that the road hauliers are rushing around trying to force pound notes into the pockets of their reluctant employees? Would it not be better to try clipping the wings of over-powerful, over-arrogant and totally unworthy leaders of the trade union movement in this country today? [HON. MEMBERS: "No, no."]—Yes, that is unless the Minister thinks that these union leaders are worthy.

I think I heard most of that. It might be helpful if the hon. Member for Chingford (Mr. Tebbit) were to put a constructive point in the House occasionally. I have never yet heard one from him.

Is my right hon. Friend aware that the reason for the strike at Ford's, as with the newspapers and as with the road hauliers, was the massive profits that these firms have been making? How does he expect trade unions to stick to a 5 per cent. pay rise when the profits of their companies in many cases have risen by over 50 per cent.? How can he guarantee that some of this surplus profit will be used to keep down prices in future, or at least will be transferred to the nurses, who are entitled to a decent pay rise?

Whatever my hon. Friend may feel about the pay guidelines and what happened at the Ford Motor Company, the fact must be that if we have an excessive pay outturn in the current round or any other round, this would be disastrous for the nurses and every other worker in this country. The sooner we recognise that the better.

Inflation

asked the Chancellor of the Exchequer if he is satisfied with the current rate of inflation, and if he will make a statement.

asked the Chancellor of the Exchequer what is the present rate of inflation.

The retail price index rose at an annual rate of 8·4 per cent. in the 12 months to December. The rate should remain around this level for the next few months ; thereafter the rate will depend crucially on the level of pay settlements.

Will the Chancellor give lie to the oft-repeated claim by many people in this House and outside that a 15 per cent. increase in wages equals 15 per cent. inflation? Will he explain that last year wages went up about 15 per cent. in total while inflation was down to 8 per cent.? Were there not some other important factors involved, such as a strong pound, terms of trade in our favour, and currency reserves relatively high, which helped to ensure that inflation was kept down to 8 per cent.? Will not these factors together assist this year just as they did last year?

It is certainly true that our rate of inflation last year was assisted by the strnegth of sterling, which in itself improved our terms of trade. I am glad that my hon. Friend supports this element in the Government's policy and presumably also the measures such as those that I took in June and November to ensure that the money supply was kept under control and that sterling remained strong.

It is the Government's policy in the current year, as I have already made clear, to conduct our affairs in such a way that we keep sterling strong. The strength of sterling is bound to be affected by the rate of inflation which will depend this year very largely on pay settlements. Some of the factors that helped us last year, such as a fall in world prices, are unlikely to be so favourable this year. Already, for example, there is likely to be a substantial increase in oil prices where there was no increase last year.

Does the Chancellor agree that there is no hope whatsoever of continuing with the present rate of inflation while his Government are quite unable to reach any agreement with the trade unions of this country? Does he agree that that possible agreement represents the only claim that his party has to remain the Government of this country?

I do not entirely agree with the hon. Member, and certainly his neighbour but one on his right, the right hon. Member for Down, South (Mr. Powell), disagrees very profoundly. I am glad to see that the right hon. Member dissociates himself totally from what has just been said by the hon. Member for Leominster (Mr. Temple-Morris).

It is very important for the House to recognise that, as the Secretary of State for Employment confirmed yesterday, the great majority of settlements have been within the Government guidelines. Those that have been outside have been mainly settlements by groups which exceeded the guidelines last year, and in all cases except that of the Ford Motor Company the resulting settlement has been well below the level of last year.

Now that we have the retail price index for the calender year 1978, namely, 8·4 per cent., will the Chancellor of the Exchequer allow the provisions of section 22 of the Finance Act 1977 to carry through, thereby giving the low-paid a rise in personal tax allowances in line with the rate of inflation? He knows as I do that this benefits the low paid proportionately more than the well off.

I hope that that will be possible, but I have made it clear, and so has the Prime Minister, that if we had anything like the wage explosion that we had in 1975 the Government would be required to take fiscal or monetary measures in order to correct the situation.

The Chancellor mentioned the strength of sterling. Does he accept that there is a real possibility that sterling is over-valued, and whereas that may help with the inflation battle it does encourage imports from overseas, thereby losing jobs in this country?

I do not accept that view, although I know it is widely held on both sides of the House. In fact one or two of my hon. Friends not a thousand miles from where I am standing now agree with the hon. Member. But, in spite of the fact that sterling remained strong throughout last year and that, as a result of increases in wage costs that were higher than those in other countries, we lost some of the competitiveness we had earlier in the year, our non-oil exports rose in volume by almost as much as they had the previous year. In fact, we maintained the increased share of world trade which many people thought we achieved in 1977 entirely from the depreciation of sterling in the previous year. The lesson of experience is that the advantages of depreciation as a cure for competitiveness have been grossly exaggerated.

Does my right hon. Friend accept that his incomes policy might be received with greater enthusiasm by working people if it were seen to apply equally to those in the upper income brackets? Is it not so that a company director in possession of a dozen or so company directorships can always accumulate another dozen directorships with a fat fee to go with them? What will he do to remedy this situation?

It is true that some people in the higher income brackets have, by various devices, been able to increase their incomes by more than the Government would wish. This has also been true of many self-employed people at very much lower levels of income. Inevitably there is some leakage there, but a study of the general distribution of incomes in recent years shows that as a result of inflation and tax changes the better off have suffered a greater erosion of their purchasing power than those lower down the scale.

Does the Chancellor remember telling the country—indeed, boasting to the country—at the time of the last election that he had succeeded in getting the rate of inflation down to 8·4 per cent.? Has he noted that the figures announced last week take the figure of inflation back up to 8·4 per cent. and that it is universally expected to rise above that? Does he also accept that the figures announced last week mean that since this Government came into office the value of the pound has been exactly halved? Is that not a fitting epitaph on the Chancellor's tenure of the Treasury?

No, I do not think that that is a fitting epitaph. I well remember sitting where the right hon. and learned Gentleman now sits and hearing the then Conservative Chancellor trying to justify a 20 per cent. depreciation in one day in the value of the £ sterling. The fact is that we have succeeded, after many years, in stabilising the value of our currency—something which previous Governments did not succeed in doing. When the right hon. and learned Gentleman refers to the current rate of inflation, he should pay some tribute to the efforts of all those who contributed to that—not least those in the trade union movement. He should be ashamed to make the remarks he has made as he and his right hon. Friends are consistently pressing policies on us which would raise prices—a very good example being their approach to agricultural policy in the European Community.

Bank Of England

asked the Chancellor of the Exchequer when he intends next to meet the Governor of the Bank of England.

I maintain close contact with the Governor of the Bank of England, meeting him on a regular basis and also as and when circumstances require.

Will my right hon. Friend tell the Governor of the Bank of England, when he next meets him, that he is not prepared to act on all the advice offered by the governor, and particularly on the advice given by the Treasury man- darins? Will the Chancellor instead act on the policies of the Labour Party conference and the TUC, and particularly on the advice given by myself and my hon. Friends? If he had done that, we would not be in the mess we are in today.

I find myself subjected to advice from many quarters and from many personalities, including the governor of the Bank of England and my hon. Friend. I came to the conclusion, quite soon after taking up the office I hold that the sensible thing was to make up my own mind on the merits of the cases put to me. That is what I have done and I think that that is responsible for the enormous improvement in our performance over the last 12 months.

Can the right hon. Gentleman say whether during his consultations with the governor of the Bank of England,, he was able to make an estimate of the amount of money involved in the decision recently announced by the Irish Government to register, and probably withdraw, all Irish nationals' funds in Britain as a result of Ireland's entry into the EMS while we stayed out?

By saying "probably withdraw" the hon. Gentleman recognised the impossibility of making estimates of very uncertain quantities. What I can say is that the decision of the Irish Government to introduce exchange controls on certain transactions between Britain and Ireland is not likely to damage our interests. If we saw any risk of our interests being damaged as a result of the Irish Government's being a member of the EMS, when we were not, we would, as I have made clear to the House, complement their exchange controls with some of our own. At the moment the Irish Government are sticking to their declared policy of keeping their exchange rate parallel with ours. They have succeeded in doing so exactly since they took their decision and I see no reason for our taking the kind of action I have referred to.

Does not the Chancellor agree that, like the Treasury, the governor has become obsessed with anti-Socialist policies which seek to minimise the public sector borrowing requirement? Does he not recollect that early this week he published figures showing that next year's public expenditure will represent no more than 4½ per cent. of what he estimates to be our gross domestic product, and that, of that 4½ per cent., no less than 2½ per cent. must be deducted for capital expenditure? Is it not an absolute disgrace that a Socialist Government should want to minimise their public sector borrowing requirement to no more than 2 per cent. of the gross domestic product for expenditure purposes?

I think, with respect, that my hon. Friend is making a great mistake if he thinks that the views which the Government hold on the appropriate size of the PSBR have anything to do with party politics. The only countries in the world which have a higher percentage of gross domestic product in their public sector borrowing requirement, or their CGBR, are Japan, which has a 25 per cent. savings ratio—about twice the size of ours—and Canada, which has much higher unemployment than ours, high inflation, and a currency which is weaker than the American dollar. I believe that our level of PSBR is appropriate to the level of capacity use and our ability to finance it without excessive increases in interest rates.

In the light of recent events, will the Chancellor give the House an assurance that he will take whatever steps are necessary to ensure that, at the very least, the public sector borrowing requirement does not exceed the figure given for 1979–80 in table 7 of the public expenditure White Paper published yesterday?

Development Land Tax Office

asked the Chancellor of the Exchequer whether he will make a statement on the progress of his departmental review of the staffing of the Development Land Tax office.

The Inland Revenue's present review of development land tax, which covers administration and financial procedures, is still in its early stages and I cannot usefully add to what I said in reply to the hon. Member's Question on 11th December.

Is there not a scandalous bureaucratic situation here in that, when a secret Inland Revenue inquiry made a recommendation that the staff should be cut by 30, the Government's response was to increase it by 20 and set up another inquiry?

No. That inquiry was conducted on the basis of the work of the office between May and June 1977. By October 1978, the number of working cases had doubled. It was therefore necessary to increase the staff in order that people who dealt with that office should, in turn, be dealt with in a proper and efficient manner.

Inflation

asked the Chancellor of the Exchequer whether he will introduce further measures to control inflation.

asked the Chancellor of the Exchequer, whether he is satisfied that his economic policies will result in a further reduction in the rate of inflation.

I believe that the Government's current policies of encouraging pay settlements within the pay guidelines combined with monetary and fiscal restraint will stabilise and gradually reduce inflation. However, the Government will not hesitate to bring in further measures should they consider them necessary.

As the majority of union leaders are reasonable people, and as few employers wish to pay more than is justified by commercial considerations, why are the Government in such difficulty over their pay policy?

The Government are in difficulty for two reasons. First, a powerful argument has been deployed by the party opposite that free collective bargaining is consistent with holding the rate of inflation where it is. I do not believe that even the Conservative Party could maintain the truth of that proposition in the face of recent events and I gather that the hon. Gentleman does not do so. Secondly, the Government's ability to influence the level of settlements in the private sector was gravely damaged by the decision of parties opposite to remove pay sanctions. If the hon. Gentleman would like other explanations, I shall be glad to give them to him.

Does the right hon. Gentleman consider that the current level of wage and salary settlements will cause higher inflation, higher unemployment, or both?

As I said a moment ago, the great majority of settlements have been within the guidelines. Those that have been outside so far have been mainly in groups, or companies, which broke the guidelines last year. In all those cases—except that of the Ford Motor Company —the resulting settlement has been a great deal lower than last year. There is still time to recover control of the situation if the Government are assisted by all those with influence in the community to achieve the necessary control. For that reason, I hope that the Conservative Party will stop encouraging people to make use of their market bargaining power to produce excessive settlements which are totally inconsistent with keeping inflation down.

Will my right hon. Friend be wary of claims from the Conservative Party opposite that inflation can be kept under control by slashing further public expenditure? Does he not agree that his own White Paper shows that one of the principal problems relating to public expenditure is not excessive spending, but underspending, and are Departments taking measures to ensure that the sums are actually spent?

One of the problems that we face all the time is to persuade Departments—and this is not a problem unique to the present Government—to announce spending plans which they are satisfied they can carry out. There have been cases—some are displayed in the current White Paper—where individual Departments have failed to make use of the spending powers which were given to them. The House will have seen that there has been much less underspending in the past 12 months than there was in the previous 12 months. On the other hand, my hon. Friend will recognise that, if the White Paper does nothing else, it demonstrates the effects on growth, output and the possible level of public expenditure of the level of inflation and, therefore, the immense importance of keeping pay settlements to a level that is consistent with keeping down the rate of inflation.

Does not the Chancellor of the Exchequer agree that, because of the difficult political situation in which he finds himself, it will be impossible for him to carry out his threats of stern fiscal measures in the near future and that therefore the only way that he can curb inflation will be to impose even higher interest rates?

No, I do not accept anything of the sort. I hope that if it became necessary, for the sake of keeping control of inflation, to ask the House to approve difficult and unpopular measures, there would be at least one or two Conservative Members who would be prepared to respond to a call for responsibility.

Will my right hon. Friend and his right hon. Friends come off the cloud on which they have been sitting for some time and recognise the fact that the trade union movement was prepared to accept voluntary incomes policies for two and a half or three years but gave adequate notice to the Government that it was not prepared to accept a phase 4? Is it not clear that if we are to get out of the present situation we must recognise that reality, allow settlements to be reached on a free collective basis and face the fact that we shall have to deal with the resulting situation on the basis of those of us who pay rates having to pay more to meet the costs of wage settlements for people in the public services and elsewhere? We must not dodge the realities of the situation.

In this area, as so often in politics and government, Governments have to take account of a number of realities, and so do peoples. As the Conservative Party has occasionally had the courage to admit, if the average level of settlements this year is significantly above 5 per cent., it will not be possible to keep down the rate of inflation. That is a fact and there is no political argument that can get rid of it.

I have already explained that although we have had some excessive settlements they have so far been in areas where we had excessive settlements last year and their size has been significantly lower than last year's increases, except in the one case of the Ford Motor Company. It is the duty of myself and my right hon. Friends and, indeed, all my hon. Friends, as well as hon. Members opposite, to put these facts in front of the people continually until they finally recognise them.

The only alternative—and my hon. Friend the Member for Liverpool, Walton (Mr. Heffer) was beginning to recognise it in the latter part of his supplementary question—is to allow wages to rip and to be compelled to take the sort of action that the Government had to take in 1975–76 in rigid control of further wage increases, cuts in public expenditure and rises in taxation. I do not think that that is a prospect which my hon. Friend would relish in practice, however much he may contemplate it in theory.

Will the Chancellor recognise that it is high time that he stopped lecturing the Opposition on pay responsibility? Is he not aware that he should count himself profoundly lucky—and I mean this seriously—that in virtually every statement that I and my right hon. and hon. Friends make on this issue we impress upon those concerned with pay bargaining the need to achieve moderate settlements in line with moderate targets of monetary growth if we are to achieve a sensible solution without rising unemployment?

Will the right hon. Gentleman recognise that the threat to achieving sensible outcomes from responsible collective bargaining arises from the intolerable sanctions that are being imposed on employers who are trying to achieve sensible results by the increasingly disorganised bands of labour which represent the unacceptable face of what used to be called the trade union movement?

I never complain about having the right hon. and learned Gentleman as the Shadow Chancellor of the Exchequer. That is something which I welcome and I hope that it will continue for many years. On the substance of what the right hon. and learned Gentleman said, the speeches of Conservative Members would be more convincing if they had supported the Government's attempt to achieve settlements in line with what the Opposition say is necessary, had not tied our hands behind our back by robbing us of the sanctions weapon in the private sector, had not pressed consistently for policies that would increase prices, particularly in agriculture, and had not gone out of their way on every occa- sion—and this applies particularly to the right hon. and learned Gentleman—to insult the trade unionists whose support and responsibility they are canvassing.

Contingency Reserve Fund

asked the Chancellor of the Exchequer what is the current size of the Contingency Reserve Fund; and what proposals he has in relation to it for the rest of the financial year.

I take it that my hon. Friend is referring to the contingency reserve for the current financial year included in the public expenditure planning total. The amount now remaining in the reserve is just over £40 million. I cannot say what contingencies will arise in the next three months.

Is the Chief Secretary aware that some severely disabled housewives have been denied the new allowance, partly because of the semantics of the regulations which are now being considered by an advisory committee, but partly because there is no public expenditure provision? I do not wish to tie anyone's hands behind his back, but can my right hon. Friend undertake to ensure that public expenditure provision is made available for this small, but hard-pressed, group of severely disabled women?

That is a matter for my right hon. Friend the Secretary of State for Social Services, but I know that my hon. Friend recognises, and I hope that all my hon. Friends recognise, how much the Government have done for the long-term sick and disabled. In 1973–74, we were spending, at 1978 survey prices, £1,190 million. In 1979–80, that figure will have risen to £1,840 million and we are planning to increase it, in real terms, to £2,070 million at the end of the current public expenditure round. I hope that my hon. Friends are aware of just how much we have been able to do for the long-term sick and disabled, despite all the difficulties.

Can my right hon. Friend confirm that the increase in earnings in the 12 months up to November justifies an increase in retirement pensions and can he tell us when pensioners are to be paid what they are owed?

I am not sure how that supplementary question relates to the original Question, but my hon. Friend will be aware that there was a substantial increase in pensions this year which was entirely in line with the legislation under which we were working. I hope that he will recognise, in fairness, that we have given substantial real increases to pensioners since we came to office in 1974.

Vehicle Excise Duty

asked the Chancellor of the Exchequer when he expects to give further details of his proposals for phasing out vehicle excise duty.

We must await the outcome of consultations with the motor industry and other interested bodies. These are to begin shortly.

If the Minister of State decides to go ahead with this policy, can he at least give us a definite undertaking that funds will be made available to compensate the disabled who receive the mobility allowance and who are exempt from vehicle excise duty from the loss that they will sustain?

It is not for me to give that sort of undertaking, but I assure the hon. Gentleman that the points that he and others have made will be taken into account when we consider this very difficult problem.

Will my right hon. Friend accept that the phasing out of the duty and the corresponding increase in petrol prices will be an enormous problem not only to people in rural areas but to urban groupings, such as Cannock Chase, which are on the borders of major conurbations and where large proportions of the population travel considerable distances to work?

I accept that some groups will be worse off as a result of the change. But other groups will be better off. We are conscious of the problems of the disabled and we are examining them.

Does the Minister agree that we are worried not only about the abolition of the vehicle tax but about the alternative measures to ensure that cars are properly licensed and insured? Will the Minister undertake that before such measures are introduced full particulars will be published of the proposals to replace the present vehicle licence?

It will still be necessary to have a proper system for vehicle registration, for the purposes of enforcing the law and road safety. There is no question about that. We are concerned here about the taxation aspect of the matter.

National Association Of Widows

asked the Chancellor of the Exchequer if he will meet a delegation from the National Association of Widows to discuss the taxation of widows.

My right hon. Friend the Financial Secretary would be glad to meet a delegation from the National Association of Widows, as he has in previous years.

When the Minister meets representatives of the National Association of Widows will he bear in mind their feelings of grave injustice about being taxed on their widows' pensions? Will he consider bringing them into line in the next Budget with the war widows who have been given a 50 per cent. discount?

I do not accept that there is a grave injustice. However, I accept that widows, like other groups of people, are anxious about the amount of tax that they pay. The House decided to give the 50 per cent. exemption to war widows. I do not accept that that is the right way to deal with the problem. Income from whatever source should be taxed in the same way, subject to the rules.

When my right hon. Friend meets the widows, will he tell them how he justifies singling out widows' allowance as the only short-term social security benefit which is taxed?

Both sides of the House recognise that in theory there is no reason why other short-term allowances should not be taxed. But there is an administrative problem caused by the fluctuating nature of most of the short-term allowances. The widows' allowance does not fluctuate. It is a flat-rate allowance paid for a short period and there are no administrative problems.

Young Workers (Industrial Clothing Tax Allowance)

asked the Chancellor of the Exchequer if he will now take steps to extend to other young workers the income tax allowance of £20 a year for tools and industrial clothing just granted to engineering apprentices after agreement with union representatives.

If any trade union makes an application for apprentices to be given a flat-rate allowance, the Inland Revenue is prepared to negotiate one, provided that the allowance broadly reflects the amounts individually deductible in respect of the cost of upkeep of tools and special clothing. In the absence of any such flat-rate allowance, individual apprentices are entitled to claim the amounts actually expended for the purpose.

I welcome that Answer, but there are young workers in certain other industries who do not receive these allowances. Does my hon. Friend accept that, even when the allowances are available, they are often unclaimed because people do not know about them? Will the Minister publish the list?

I shall consider publishing the list, but I make no commitment. The object of the flat-rate allowance is to ensure that people know to what allowances they are entitled. The Inland Revenue has no objection to negotiating such arrangements with the trade unions.

£ Sterling

asked the Chancellor of the Exchequer in what range of fluctuation against the basket of Europeon currencies he now wishes to maintain the £ sterling.

There has been no change in our exchange rate policy. Our aim is to maintain a stable exchange rate as measured against the currencies of all our main trading partners.

In view of the fact that the current public sector borrowing requirement is regarded widely as excessive and is forecast in yesterday's White Paper as remaining excessive, does the Chancellor agree that his exchange rate target will be achieved in the end only by either higher domestic interest rates or higher taxes?

If the hon. Member's view were shared by those who help to determine the value of sterling on the foreign exchange markets, sterling would not have been as stable as it has been in the last 12 months. But it is not shared by those who watch our affairs from outside. The hon. Member and his hon. Friends would be wise to look at the value which foreign countries put upon our currency before seeking to denigrate our achievements.

Has my right hon. Friend read his own expenditure paper? Has he noticed that our net budget contribution to the EEC in 1980 is to rise to £795 million? Is this not an intolerable burden on our Budget and balance of payments?

The Government have made it clear on many occasions that they regard the budgetary burden which falls on the United Kingdom as a result of the current monetary arrangements inside the Community as seriously excessive. They are seeking to renegotiate them both in terms of the budget itself and the common agricultural policy, which is the main culprit.

if the Chancellor's reply to my hon. Friend the Member for Mid-Sussex (Mr. Renton) has any validity, how does he account for the fact that other countries have reduced the proportion of their reserves which they maintain in sterling to under 2 per cent.?

We have asked them to do so because we regard the reserve role of sterling as damaging to the interests of the country. I am glad to say that we were successful.

Prime Minister(Engagements)

asked the Prime Minister if he will list his official engagements for 18th January.

This morning I presided at a meeting of the Cabinet. In addition to my duties in this House I shall be holding further meetings with ministerial colleagues and others.

Is my right hon. Friend aware that neither in her television broadcast last evening nor in her speech to the House of Commons on Tuesday did the Leader of the Opposition make any reference to how the Tories would tackle the problems of inflation? [HON. MEMBERS: "Reading."] Short-term, ill-considered proposals on trade union legislation would not help the country in the present situation. [HON. MEMBERS: "Reading."] Will my right hon. Friend continue to impress upon the trade union movement that inflationary wage increases have no relevance to social justice and are not in the best interests of working people—[HON. MEMBERS: "Reading."]

That might be so, but I did not hear all the question. If I caught my hon. Friend's first few words correctly, as I think I did, he stressed the need in all our current problems to emphasise the importance of overcoming inflation. That, of course, is right. Inflationary wage settlements, so far as they enter into the final costs of production, give rise to rising prices and rising unemployment. Nothing that I know can destory that basic fact. It should be hammered home on all occasions.

Does the Prime Minister appreciate that in the East Riding of Yorkshire we have the biggest concentration of pigs in the country? [HON. MEMBERS: "That is right."] Labour Members will laugh less when I tell them that, owing to the concentration of the Transport and General Workers' Union on the feed mills of Hull, a large number of those animals are definitely and genuinely in danger of going short of food. Hon. Members may laugh if they wish.

Will the Prime Minister today phone up the strike committee in Hull and use his influence to persuade its members to withdraw the pickets and to show in practice the sympathy which they profess for animal welfare?

The hon. Member will now understand how I sometimes feel when I have to give a quick reply at the Dispatch Box and I say not quite what I mean to say. The hon. Gentleman made a serious point, however I understand that there have been particular problems, especially in the port of Hull and in East Yorkshire, with picketing and secondary picketing. I know that contacts have been made through the emergency unit. I believe that some changes have been made. Clearly I cannot give a definite answer to the hon. Member. I shall have something more to say about the general position in my statement later.

Will my right hon. Friend, in the course of his engagements today, seek to ascertain from the right hon. Lady the Leader of the Opposition whether she sees any relationship between wage settlements and inflation and, if so, why she fails signally to refer to that relationship in any of her public statements?

I am sure that the right hon. Lady is as aware as anyone else of the consequences of inflation. This is a problem to which more attention might be paid by the Opposition on occasions, instead of referring to what are in certain circumstances peripheral matters affecting powers. I do not believe that taking statutory powers is necessarily, as experience has shown, the right way to conquer inflation.

asked the Prime Minister if he will list his official engagements for Thursday 18th January.

I refer the hon. Member to the reply which I have just given to my hon. Friend the Member for Kingswood (Mr. Walker).

I understand that it is the intention of the Prime Minister to seek a voluntaryagreement with the trade unions, not simply with a view to settling the present dispute but on wider and longer-term issues. How will such an agreement differ from the solemn and binding agreement made between the trade unions and the Labour Government in the 1960s which, as the Chancellor of the Exchequer reminded us not long ago, melted away like butter in the sun?

That is not on the list of my engagements for today, I am bound to say, and we had better wait to see what emerges from discussions with the TUC, which I shall certainly hope to have as soon as possible. I imagine that present circumstances have shown clearly how important it is for any Government to secure the full co-operation of the organised workers in this country if we are to succeed.

As my right hon. Friend reflects today—if he reflects at all—on the right hon. Lady's broadcast last night, will he recognise that it was an exercise in sheer damned hypocrisy, for two reasons? First, on the one hand, she is citicising the lorry drivers for following the policies advocated by herself and her right hon. Friend the Member for Leeds, North-East (Sir K. Joseph)—

Several Hon. Members rose

Secondly, will not my right hon. Friend agree that the right hon. Lady was hypocritical in promising—

Hon. Members: Withdraw.

Order. It is out of order, as the House knows, and quite wrong, for an hon. Member to call any other hon. Member a hypocrite.

Thank you for your guidance, Mr. Speaker, but I did not call the right hon. Lady a hypocrite. I merely said that the political broadcast was an exercise in hypocrisy, and I think it was. [HON. MEMBERS: "Withdraw."] Will my right hon. Friend say whether he does not think that promising public service workers substantial increases in pay, and at the same time threatening huge cuts in public expenditure, is a hypocritical exercise?

I am afraid that I am unable to join in this, as I did not have the privilege of seeing the television broadcast. I am not, therefore, able to pass any comments on it. What is quite clear is that if we have free collective bargaining, as a result of which public sector workers are to have large increases in pay, it is certainly not consistent with that to promise large cuts in taxation. I am sure that must be known to the Conservative Front Bench.

If Mr. Moss Evans can produce within a matter of hours a draft code on picketing, why is it not possible for the Government within a matter of days to produce their own proposals on picketing and to publish them this weekend, so that we can debate them in the House next week?

The Transport and General Workers' Union, as I shall report a little later, is issuing a code of practice about the current dispute and the current dispute alone. That is somewhat easier than drawing up a general code that would apply to all disputes at all times. I should have thought that the Opposition, having seen some of the results of their own ill-considered legislation, would not wish to rush back into this too soon.

Is my right hon. Friend aware that he has often said in this House that prevention is better than cure? Does he not consider that the crisis facing this country today would have been prevented had his Cabinet given a flat-rate increase right across the board during the early stages of negotiations? I am sure, having done my sums on this—[Interruption.] Listen to that lot, Mr. Speaker. If they were in India they would be sacred. Will my right hon. Friend agree that, had such a flat-rate increase been allowed, so that the man on £40 a week would have had the same increase as the man on £20,000 a year, three-quarters of the trouble which faces the Prime Minister and the Government today would have been prevented?

One of the problems that we face at present is that while there is one view in favour of increasing the pay at the bottom end of the scale by a substantial flat rate or percentage rate, at the other end of the scale—and, indeed, in the middle of the scale—the cry by those who are organised is for an improvement and an increase in the differentials. This is one of the dilemmas facing anyone who tries to devise policy in this field.

Will the Prime Minister some time today give some thought to the fact that today, in the Trafford district of Greater Manchester, four hospitals have closed down, partly due to the transport workers' strike and to picketing and partly due to the proposed threat of action on Monday by the National Union of Public Employees? Does he not think it is quite serious that sick people are being penalised in this way by industrial action? What view do his Government take about, and what do they propose to do to remedy, this serious position?

The hon. Gentleman knows full well that we clearly take a serious view of a matter of that sort, if it is as the hon. Gentleman has described. But, as he will also know, it is easier to say how serious a position is than to put it right. It would be possible to put it right by giving substantial increases in pay to all those who are coming to lobby us on Monday. If that is the Opposition's policy, they should say so clearly. If not, they should not just bellow "What are you going to do about it?".

Later

On a point of order, Mr. Speaker. I am sorry to press this matter. However, over the years, there have grown up in the House certain rules of procedure and rules concerning the manner in which hon. Members are addressed. Not only do those rules preserve the dignity of this House here; they are consistent with the dignity of this House in the eyes of the country. I think that you will agree, Mr. Speaker, with the view that the terms in which the hon. Member for Swindon (Mr. Stoddart) referred to statements made by my right hon. Friend the Leader of the Opposition were against the best traditions of this House. I hope, Mr. Speaker, that you will make that perfectly clear.

Further to that point of order, Mr. Speaker. I explained to you and to the House that I referred to the broadcast and the direction of that broadcast, and not to a person. I think that it does no good to this House of Commons if Members of Parliament are mealy-mouthed and do not state what they mean. I stated exactly what I meant, and I believe that it was the truth.

—[ Interruption.]

Order. There is not one right hon. or hon. Member who would like to be called hypocritical—not one of us.

Order. Every man according to his taste apparently—but it is not mine.

I agree with the hon. Member for Gillingham (Mr. Burden) that it behoves us all to try to maintain the proper standards in the Mother of Parliaments. Hansard is read widely throughout the Commonwealth—and not always to advantage, I may add.

Further to that point of order, Mr. Speaker. The hon. Member for Swindon (Mr. Stoddart) used the word "hypocrisy" as an accusation against my right hon. Friend the Leader of the Opposition. It is well known that to use that word as an allegation against an hon. Member is an unparliamentary proceeding. Should not the hon. Member, therefore, be called upon by you to withdraw that allegation?

When the hon. Member for Swindon (Mr. Stoddart) rose later, I understood him to indicate that he was not making a personal charge. Therefore, although I have the same impression as the right hon. and learned Member for Huntingdonshire (Sir D. Renton), as the hon. Member for Swindon has told us that he made no personal charge, I think that the House would be better served by accepting that.

Later

On a point of order, Mr. Speaker. Having checked carefully with the Official Report, I now realise that I did make a personal allusion to the right hon. Lady the Leader of the Opposition which implied that she was a hypocrite. I am very happy to withdraw that remark.

National Economicdevelopment Council

asked the Prime Minister when he plans next to take the chair of the National Economic Development Council.

I next plan to take the chair at a meeting of the National Economic Development Council on 7th February.

Will my right hon. Friend agree that, in spite of our present problems, the usual relationship between trade unionists and management is that reflected in the useful co-operation seen in the NEDC sector working parties? Will he accept that, if we are to get the long-term benefits of the industrial strategy, even more Government involvement will be necessary to ensure the rapid implementation of the working party recommendations?

Yes, it is the case, as is commonly vouched for, that relations in the overwhelming part of British industry are satisfactory, if not good. Indeed, they are improving. I believe that the increased communication that is taking place as a result of the sector working parties has contributed to that. Certainly they will have the full backing of the Government.

Is not the National Economic Development Council one of the appropriate places in which to consider some of the suggestions put forward by the Leader of the Opposition. since the scale of repeated industrial anarchy is gravely damaging to the economy?

Will the Prime Minister not reject the suggestions of the Leader of the Opposition simply because she has come rather late in the day to the principle of inter-party co-operation? Will he recognise that there really is growing public concern about the impotence of Parliament in these situations? Will he therefore give the right hon. Lady a positive response in trying to seek a united approach on these issues?

The right hon. Gentleman may be certain that all proposals—from wherever they may come—for dealing with the present situation or, indeed, any other discomforts in our industrial situation, will be objectively considered by the Government.

I must say that I was impressed this morning by the article that appeared—if I may give an advertisement to such an organ—on the editorial page of The Daily Telegraph. It is well worth reading, because it shows how misconceived are some of the proposals that are put forward in—again I repeat the word "peripheral"—circles regarding the capacity of the law to deal with this situation. I do not say that in any polemical spirit, but it seems to me that we must get the analysis right if we are ever to find a solution. The writer was someone who did not sign his article, but he described what he was doing from his practical experience. I hope that every member of the Conservative Party will read that article very seriously.

On a point of order, Mr. Speaker. It may not have escaped your attention that the hon. Members for Newcastle upon Tyne, East (Mr. Thomas) and Swindon (Mr. Stoddart) both asked questions of my right hon. Friend the Leader of the Opposition. I can quite see that it is more interesting to ask questions of the next Prime Minister than of the past Prime Minister. Would not it be more sensible if we asked my right hon. Friend to take, say one of the sessions, on the Tuesday or the Thursday, to answer her questions?

Ambulance Service(Industrial Dispute)

asked the Secretary of State for Social Services if he will make a statement on what advice he has given to area health authorities about emergency ambulance cover from Monday 22nd January.

No general guidance is necessary at present. NHS authorities know that it is their responsibility to take whatever measures are needed.

I have spoken personally to the general secretaries of the unions concerned and have been assured that the unions have advised their members to maintain emergency services. I have, however, to tell the House that there is an unofficial threat to remove emergency services in London next Monday. I understand that the men are to consider the matter tomorrow. Such unofficial action could have tragic consequences, and I appeal to all those concerned to act responsibly and to maintain emergency services.

The South West Thames regional health authority, which is the authority responsible for the London ambulance service, has made contingency plans to ensure an emergency service.

As, by definition, we are dealing with matters of life and death, is the right hon. Gentleman aware that certainly the Northamptonshire area health authority has been expecting advice? Secondly, will he explain why it is to be the unions which decide what is to be an emergency, and not the medical staff concerned? Finally, will the right hon. Gentleman explain why it is that union members are apparently to be paid for next Monday although they are going on strike?

It is certainly not wholly unions which decide whether a matter is an emergency. But there can be no question at all, whether it be a matter for unions, for administrators or for the professions, that to maintain an emergency service such as the London ambulance service clearly cannot be other than essential. Therefore, I am glad that the unions are bringing every possible pressure to bear upon their men. I hope that there will be a response.

The hon. Gentleman's second question related to pay sanctions. There should be no misunderstanding about this. Those who go on strike get no pay. The question relates to action other than withdrawing labour, where some flexibility may be necessary, depending on the nature of the action and the circumstances at the time.

Is my right hon. Friend aware that in this dispute it is the policy of the four major trade unions involved, with particular reference to the possible situation in London—their policy and not merely their advice—that there should he complete emergency cover? Is he aware that what he can do to help them in trying to keep some form of order and a continuing exchange of views to see that this is accomplished would be appreciated by the trade unions and, I hope, everyone in the House, as an aid to the achievement of their desire that during this dispute there should be full and complete cover for emergencies?

Quite right. It is the policy of the unions. I am in touch with them. The London ambulance service has a very fine reputation. It is a well-trained and very efficient force. I do not believe that when the men consider these issues properly and fairly they will leave London without an emergency service. I cannot believe it.

In regard to the possible withdrawal of emergency services in London on Monday, why is it not possible to advise the public now of what the contingency plans are? With newspapers reduced in size, and a lot of news, if this is to occur, people want to know what will happen on Monday.

I have another question, which follows a point made by the hon. Member for Ealing, North (Mr. Molloy), who asked the right hon. Gentleman whether there was anything that he could advise the unions to do to strengthen their authority over those of their members who are not following the rules. Will the right hon. Gentleman discuss with the appropriate general secretaries the "branching" of members who are disobeying union instructions?

As to giving advice, emergency service will be provided as a contingency. There have been very productive discussions with the police force and with the voluntary organisations. I am satisfied—my Department has been totally in touch—that the authority will provide an emergency service. In any case, as I have made clear to the House, the meeting is being held tomorrow morning and I do not want to do or say anything today other than to encourage the men to act responsibly in accordance with their union policy.

Several Hon. Members rose

Order. This is an extension of Question Time. We are dealing with a Private Notice Question. I remind the House that there are three important statements to follow, as well as business questions. I shall allow one question from each side of the House.

Does my right hon. Friend recognise that every Labour Member would deplore any action by anybody outside who threatened emergency services of any kind? Does he understand that most of those who are coming on Monday have a serious grievance, namely, low pay in the public sector, and that many of them were attacked in the first instance by the Tory Government as long ago as the early 1960s? The nurses were the first victims of a Tory incomes policy and have the same grievances today. Will my right hon. Friend give an undertaking to the unions that the problem of low pay in the public sector will be tackled imaginatively by the Government?

I am sure that hon. Members in all parts of the House will not support the withdrawal of emergency services.

My hon. Friend mentioned a grievance. He will know that two days ago my right hon. Friend the Prime Minister outlined two important initiatives on pay. In line with those initiatives, there have been informal meetings with representatives of employers and unions in the hope that it may be possible to find the basis of a fair and reasonable settlement. I am sure that both sides of the House hope that such a settlement will be achieved.

The House welcomes the right hon. Gentleman's statement. I hope that he will prove right in his confidence that an emergency service will operate in London. Is he aware that if the Red Cross and St. John Ambulance and the police are prepared to play their part, they will be supported by hon. Members in all parts of the House?

Has the right hon. Gentlemen taken the advice of the management of the London ambulance service and warned the Ministry of Defence that it may be necessary to call on Service personnel to reinforce emergency services? Is he aware that his circular issued last Monday, which appeared to advise authorities not to withhold pay from those who take industrial action, gave great offence to many health authorities? It cut the ground from under their feet in deciding whether to exercise any discipline.

On the right hon. Gentleman's last comment, I believe that there has been some misrepresentation. On the subject of strike action, the position as recognised by health authorities is clear. Unfortunately, a press report gave a totally contrary impression.

In answer to the right hon. Gentleman's earlier comments, I inform him that there has been great co-operation from the Red Cross and St. John Ambulance, and especially from the police. The question of the involvement of the Ministry of Defence is a matter with which my right hon. Friend the Home Secretary will deal in a later statement.

Road Haulage (Industrialdispute)

With permission, Mr. Speaker, I shall make a statement about the road haulage strike. My right hon. Friend the Home Secretary, if he catches your eye, hopes later to make a statement on the effects of the present current industrial disputes and the Government's contingency arrangements. It will be a rather broader statement.

I regret to inform the House that there appears to be no prospect of an immediate end to the strike, and the movement of supplies of all kinds is being held up. Hardship and considerable dislocation are being caused to the general public and to trade and industry, particularly because of the severe effects of secondary picketing. I therefore asked the general secretary of the TGWU, Mr. Moss Evans, and the general secretary of the TUC, Mr. Lionel Murray, to come to see me for discussions last night.

Mr. Evans made it clear that his union stands by its agreement to maintain the priority supplies of essential goods. He also repeated that it stands by its instructions to its own members that the strike and the picketing should be confined to those companies which are in dispute with the Road Haulage Association. Mr. Evans undertook to take further action to ensure that these priority supplies are maintained and that action by pickets is not extended to companies and employees who are not involved in the dispute.

Nevertheless, it is clear that some picketing practices, and, in particular, secondary picketing, have given rise to the present serious situation. I told Mr. Evans that there had been little amelioration in the position and that it was essential that pickets, and, in particular, secondary picketing, should be properly controlled. I have already made clear to the House that in the Government's view this control is likely to be more effective by a voluntary code of practice than by attempts at unenforceable legislation.

As a result of our discussion, the TGWU has agreed to a voluntary code of practice in relation to picketing during this dispute and this has been issued by it today. The code explicitly provides that
"Picketing should be confined to the drivers and vehicles in the hire and reward section of the industry who are employed by firms in dispute with the union"
—that is to say, it rules out secondary picketing. The union is making clear to all its members that no member of the union will be penalised or suffer in any way as regards his rights as a member of the union if he follows this code of practice.

My right hon. Friend will deal in his statement with the general question of contingency arrangements. But, in relation to the road haulage dispute, I should say that in the current grave situation the Government have given careful consideration to the question whether they should seek the powers that would become available by proclaiming a state of emergency today. The critical question is whether the proclamation of a state of emergency would increase the supply of essential goods and services. At the moment the Government's view is that essential supplies would be better maintained by the members of the TGWU observing the code of practice issued by their union and so putting an end to secondary picketing. But the Government will keep the matter under review day by day, and will keep the House informed of developments.

Is the Prime Minister aware that the Opposition are astonished at the weakness and hollowness of his statement? There is nothing in the statement to re-establish the authority of government under the law. The right hon. Gentleman must daily be receiving reports of violence, intimidation and money passing.

I refer to intimidation as a result of which people are afraid to go to work. They can obtain no aid or comfort from the weak and complacent statement made by the Prime Minister a few moments ago.

May I put a question to the right hon. Gentleman about the code of practice? Is he aware that one of the reasons for making the strike official was to give the union more power over secondary picketing? If a code of practice is to be effective from today, why has it not been effective until now?

Why has it taken so long even to get one considered and issued?

Why does the Prime Minister think that neither the TGWU's undertaking to see that food is moved nor its promise to see that own-account lorries are not affected has been followed? We all know that food has been affected and that own-account lorries have been stopped. What makes the right hon. Gentleman think that a code of practice will be effective?

Furthermore, as the right hon. Gentleman well knows, it is reported that some pickets are not union pickets at all but that various other people have joined the pickets. The fact is that the strike is out of control of the union and appears to have passed from one group of militants to another. In that case, this code of practice will not be, and cannot be, effective.

I asked the Home Secretary the other day whether he had yet sent guidance, in a circular, to chief constables. If he has not done so, it is high time that he did. Perhaps he will tell the House whether he has now issued such guidance to chief constables. I have reason to think that until last night no such guidance had been sent out.

The Prime Minister always uses the argument that the law cannot deal with these matters, but he never hesitates to use the law to increase the power of trade unions. He uses that argument only when it is suggested that such power be reduced.

Finally, does the Prime Minister now think that it would be far better to reestablish the authority of Parliament by proclaiming a state of emergency in the light of this situation, with existing strikes and those threatened for next week?

I rather welcome this new non-party approach to our problems. I have no doubt that if it is maintained we shall get even more agreement between us.

As to whether there is authority under the law, the advice that I have been given—the right hon. Lady will have had similar advice—is that secondary picketing does not break the law. If the law is being broken by intimidation or in any other way, it is for the police to take action and to bring the offenders before the courts. I have no doubt that they will not hesitate to do so.

I am not able to say whether this new approach will be effective. However, in my view we must give it an opportunity to prove effective or, indeed—I hope that this would not be the case—to prove that it cannot be effective. It has not taken a long time to establish it. The union has had difficulty in securing control because of the widespread nature of the dispute. I think that it would be better for the whole House to encourage the union to try to ensure and secure control than to abuse it before it has even begun.

As to the food and the own-account lorries that are being interrupted, the right hon. Lady will presumably have noticed from my statement—she will certainly see in the code of practice, which is being issued—that the union indicates—I shall quote exactly what is said—that
"Members of the union who are working for employers not party to the dispute or who are engaged in moving priority supplies should indicate where they stop at the request of pickets that they are proceeding to move such supplies in accordance with the Union's instructions as embodied in this code and that pickets should therefore make no attempt to prevent such a vehicle from proceeding."
This is a continuing matter. I hope that the union will be effective this time. I want to encourage all national and regional officers and the strike committees to obey this code of practice. Otherwise, it is possible that a code of law will be introduced with all the results that we have seen before.

On the question of a state of emergency, as I have said, we must keep this matter under review. There is a case for saying that if a state of emergency is declared the result will be positive, in the sense that, although we shall not be using many troops or lorries, many other people will then go back to work. That is a matter of judgment. I do not at the moment believe that that judgment would be true. We should find that we had accentuated, not lessened, the dispute. The time may come when that judgment will be accurate or, at least, when we shall have to make the judgment that it is accurate and will have the required beneficial, not adverse, effect. When that time comes, there will be no hesitation about declaring a state of emergency, but I do not propose to do so far pure cosmetic reasons. I say to the right hon. Lady that strong words and weak actions do not go well together.

Does the Prime Minister accept that the House is at least entitled to expect an assurance from him that, unless there is a marked improvement in the situation in the next 24 hours, he will consider declaring a state of emergency tomorrow without waiting any further?

Secondly, on reflection, does the right hon. Gentleman consider that his statement that the union is making it clear that no member will be penalised or will suffer in any way if he follows the code of practice is a Gilbertian way of putting things? We want to know how they will be penalised if they do not follow the code.

This code is issued by the union. Therefore, it is not my responsibility to answer for it. It is for the TGWU, which at national level has, I think, shown its bona fides on this matter. If the document, as it is prepared, is carried out by union members throughout the country, it will undoubtedly substantially alter the situation. We shall have to see to what extent the union's members carry out the code of conduct.

The right hon. Gentleman asked whether we would consider declaring a state of emergency tomorrow. I have already made clear in my statement that we shall review the matter from day to day. That is the best way of proceeding. Whether it is tomorrow or next week will depend upon whether we judge that the declaration of a state of emergency will either get men back to work or improve the movement of goods. At the moment, our judgment is that that would not be so, and no evidence has been forthcoming from the Leader of the Opposition to show that it would improve the situation.

Will my right hon. Friend make clear to the Leader of the Opposition, who evidently understands very little about the events that have been taking place recently, that it was the influence of the national officers of the Transport and General Workers' Union that brought the tankers drivers' strike quickly to an end and that this week those officers have been involved daily in dealing with the matters to which she referred? It is absolutely untrue that the union so far, in its instructions to its members, has not been able to penetrate the membership in that way. The membership is responding. The code of practice being issued today has the full backing of the union's executive. [Interruption.]

My hon. Friend is a member of the union and therefore has a more complete knowledge of its attitude than some Opposition Members who are now shouting. It is true that the union's national officers are endeavouring to ensure that this code is carried through. If it is carried through, there will be relief at the ports and in other ways. But it is now for the members of the union to accept the code that has been issued by their union. We shall certainly ensure that it gets the maximum publicity. We trust that they will then carry it out. If they do not carry it out for their own union, the Opposition still have to answer the question: for whom would they carry it out?

Further to the point made by the Leader of the Liberal Party, is the Prime Minister aware that the most staggering thing about his statement is that, having called Mr. Moss Evans to Downing Street yesterday and agreed not to declare a state of emergency because of the assurances given by Mr. Evans, it was on the basis that those who complied with the voluntary code on picketing would not be punished for complying and that those who did not comply would not be punished for not complying? Did he not obtain from Mr. Moss Evans an assurance that any member of the Transport and General Workers' Union who now indulges in secondary picketing will lose his membership of that union?

I do not know whether the right hon. Gentleman believes that that would solve this problem or bring the strike to an end. If so, his knowledge of industrial relations must be very scant.

Is my right hon. Friend aware that a number of the messy situations that have arisen in the last few days are due to appalling communications in a very difficult situation? Did Mr. Moss Evans indicate whether he intended to do anything to improve communications between his district officers and the local press and employers and the Government's own regional staff?

That is a matter for Mr. Evans, but certainly the staff of the various Ministries are working well together and are in touch in order to ensure, as far as possible, that essential goods go through. That communication is complete, and we get up-to-date reports regularly.

Does the Prime Minister recognise that he has totally failed to give any leadership to the moderate majority in this nation? Does he accept that it is his first duty, at this grim moment, to demonstrate his resolve that this country shall be governed by the elected Government and Parliament and not by small groups of bullies and blockaders?

I think that it has always been my responsibility. I have tried to carry it out to give leadership to moderate opinion of all sorts. That is what I am continuing to do. I do not intend to fall victim to any cheap gestures that might look strong but would not produce a result. That is the test. If a state of emergency were declared in present circumstances, newspapers might tomorrow say "How strong!" and by Tuesday they would be saying "What a ghastly mistake!" This is a matter of judgment. If we believe that the moment has arisen when the situation will be improved by a state of emergency, the hon. Member for Somerset, North (Mr. Dean) need have no doubt that we shall declare one, but I have still to hear any evidence why people believe that a state of emergency would improve the flow of goods from the ports, through the warehouses and into the shops, or, indeed, would get the men back to work. There has been no evidence of that at all.

Does my right hon. Friend agree that if this whole series of disputes proves anything it proves clearly that the Conservative Party is the party of the employers? It will not have escaped his notice that all the proposals made by the Conservative Party, in the last four days, for legislative changes would have strengthened the employers' bargaining power. Is it not a disgrace that the Conservative Party should seek to exploit the class struggle—[Interruption]—when uppermost in the minds of all of us should be a solution to the problems of inflation?

The real question, if hon. Members jeer about the class struggle, is that we are all engaged in a national struggle at the moment.

If the hon. Gentleman suggests that I am not, he mistakes very much my approach to this question. That it is not a strident approach does not mean that I do not care as much as he does about the welfare of our nation—about getting men back to work and ensuring that there is justice and fair play for all our citizens. The hon. Gentleman must give me the credit for believing that what I am doing is the right way to conduct this nation through a most difficult situation.

Several Hon. Members rose

Order. A wider statement on the current situation is to follow. I propose to call three more hon. Members from either side.

Is the Prime Minister aware that the effects of the present strike on the North-West of England have produced a state of crisis that is now beginning to show symptoms of anarchy? In addition to being threatened by poisoning from contaminated water, people in that area are now threatened by malnutrition, due to the interruption of food supplies. Does he know that supplies of the necessities of life are being controlled not by the agencies of government but by the bully-boys of the unions? What steps is he prepared to take immediately, as a matter of urgency, to deal with that situation?

I would be astonished if the hon. and learned Gentleman's rather extravagant language about people suffering malnutrition were found to be true. We are all threatened with malnutrition in the long run, but it is absurd to use language of that sort in present circumstances, as the hon. and learned Member knows.

It is true, according to the reports that we have received, that the North-West has suffered particularly. We have to try to ensure that the normal food and water supplies are restored as quickly as possible. People are having to walk 200 or 300 yards to get water, which is a disgrace in a civilised community.

But I would point out to the hon. and learned Gentleman and to Opposition Members in their present, if I may call it, union-bashing mood—[HON. MEMBERS: "Withdraw."] All right, I withdraw and apologise. I have not heard a word said against unions this afternoon. But when Opposition Members criticize—if they will accept the word—if not attack, the unions, they should recognise that the action being taken in many cases is not under the authority of the union. It is outside its authority. It is unofficial, and therefore the problem is all the greater—unless we intend to put a few thousand citizens into gaol—to try to get a sense of responsibility back into society, which is what I intend to do.

Does my right hon. Friend agree that the simplistic demand for a state of emergency made by the Opposition could actually lead—they must think about this for two or three minutes—to a withdrawal of labour from the docks and from the airports, and could freeze the situation entirely? Will they stop making these simplistic demands? Is it not time that the Department of Employment, despite ACAS, got the people involved in the dispute round the table in order to reach a settlement? No matter how long this strike goes on, a settlement has to be reached. The most positive thing that we can do at this moment is to concentrate on reaching a settlement and not make the sort of demands that are coming from the Opposition Benches.

I shall certainly discuss this prospect with the Secretary of State for Employment. The Road Haulage Association made a proposal yesterday which, I understand, was unacceptable because of the negotiating practices that exist in that industry. In some ways, they are rather strange practices, perhaps because of the history of the industry. The association made a proposal that was not acceptable, but if it were possible to get the parties round a table and get a settlement, the Govern- ment would certainly lend their best offices towards achieving that.

Is the Prime Minister aware that since he saw Mr. Moss Evans yesterday the strike of lorry drivers has been made official in the West Midlands? Secondly, the secondary picketing of the salt works in Cheshire has increased, with serious consequences for the people.

My understanding was that the salt works position had eased, but I shall look into what the right hon. Gentleman says. We were given assurances about the movement of salt. As for secondary picketing, if the members carry out the code of practice laid down by the union that should cease.

Are not the questions of the Leader of the Liberal Party and the right hon. Member for Worcester (Mr. Walker) based on a mishearing of the words in the statement from Moss Evans? Does not that passage relate not to the pickets but to the people who go through the picket lines, as long as they go through the picket lines in accordance with the instructions of the unions? In that sense. is not that passage absolutely vital? Does it not rob the picket line of its authority to stop people who are not involved?

My hon. Friend, with his legal mind, has stated the position exactly as I understand it. [HON.MEMBERS: "No."] At least I have the advantage of having read the statement, and those who are shouting have not. I shall gladly read my statement again, because I do not want any misunderstanding about it. Having said that secondary picketing is ruled out, the statement goes on:

"The union is making clear to all its members that no member of the union will be penalised or suffer in any way as regards his rights as a member of the union if he follows this code of practice."
My understanding is that it is alleged that some people have been threatened that if they go through a picket line they will suffer afterwards by the withdrawal of their union card. Therefore, when I read that sentence it seemed to me that that was a protection and advice to those who go through the picket lines that in no circumstances will they be penalised or suffer in any way.

I should like the Prime Minister to clarify one point beyond doubt. His hon. Friend the Member for York (Mr. Lyon) said that the picket line had authority to stop—[HON. MEMBERS: "No."] Those were the words he used. The Prime Minister, inadvertently perhaps, endorsed or accepted those words. Will he make it absolutely clear to the House and the country that a picket line has no authority whatsoever to stop anybody?

Before my right hon. Friend replies, may I say that I did not say that? [HON. MEMBERS: "The hon. Gentleman did."] I did not. What I said was that the picket line had authority. The authority comes out of the loyalty of the trade unionists or out of the power of the union to withdraw the card of any member who violates the picket line. That is all.

I think that if the right hon. and learned Member for Surrey, East (Sir G. Howe) studies what I said—we must not get this wrong, nor must we try to make points that are not relevant—he will agree that I certainly did not endorse any suggestion of the kind alleged. As my hon. Friend the Member for York (Mr. Lyon) says, he did not intend to make such a suggestion, nor do I believe that he did make it. The right hon. and learned Gentleman knows the law as well as I do.

There is no need for any dispute about this, and I am happy to repeat that there is no right of a picket to stop anyone. It is at the decision of the person who is approaching the picket line, as the statement says in two places. It refers on the first page to those drivers who are approaching a picket line and on the second page it says:
"Members of the union … should indicate where they stop at the request of pickets".
They themselves decide to stop, at the request of pickets. As I understand it, that is what the law of picketing is about, and always has been. There is no need for false differences over this issue.

Will my right hon. Friend confirm and make clear whether he has received any evidence of a tacit or explicit conspiracy between the Tory Party and the Road Haulage Association deliberately to prolong the strike so that the Tories can make the maximum political advantage, as they think, as they did in their party political broadcast last night?

On a point of order, Mr. Speaker. I raise this point of order with some deference to you. One of my hon. Friends was trying to put a Question to the Prime Minister and failed to do so. I recognise that it is your right to choose hon. Members to ask questions, but this failure puts those who represent Scottish constituencies in some difficulty, for the following reason. The next statement will be made by the Home Secretary, who has no responsibility whatever for Scottish affairs, and I doubt whether he will be able to add any comment about the emergency in Scotland. In those circumstances, what can Scottish hon. Members do if the Prime Minister cannot answer their questions?

I think that the whole House is aware that I lean over backwards to make sure that minority party interests are heard. The Scottish National Party can have no complaint against me.

Secondly, when so many right hon. and hon. Members are seeking to ask a question, it is impossible to watch, on a regional basis, who is called.

Further to that point of order, Mr. Speaker. I rise again with humility and deference. As you will know, the SNP has not been very audible in relation to selection or otherwise in recent weeks. We on the SNP Bench do not have the opportunity of putting any questions to the Secretary of State for Scotland, because the right hon. Gentleman, who represents a national area of the United Kingdom, has not come forward with a statement of the position in Scotland and the way in which people are affected by the strike.

I understand that the Secretary of State for Wales also will not make a statement. It is the Home Secretary who will be making the statement.

Further to that point of order, Mr. Speaker. You do yourself an injustice. It will be within the recollection of the House, even if it has slipped your mind, that you called the right hon. Member for Roxburgh, Selkirk and Peebles (Mr. Steel), who is the best of our belief is a Scottish Member.

Essential Supplies And Services

With permission, Mr. Speaker, I will report to to the House on developments in the arrangements for ensuring that essential supplies and services are maintained.

As the House knows, the broad picture has been one of some deterioration in the last day or so in the supply situation, though the extent of this varies from region to region.

Food shortages are becoming more marked all over the country, more so in some regions than others. There has been some improvement in supplies of salt, but in some areas there are difficulties in the supply of some basic manufactured foodstuffs, such as sugar and margarine.

As to animal feedingstuffs, there has been or is expected to be some improvement in Humberside and in Wales, though the situation at Hull remains critical. The general situation is still, however, one of growing shortage.

On the health side, there are reports of difficulties in supply to hospitals as a result of production disruptions at suppliers.

Looking at industry as a whole, layoffs have increased in some degree. Many industries and firms face problems in the supply of raw materials and in the storage of stocks of products, which are not being moved out to customers.

Many of these problems are the result of secondary picketing. Picketing is not being confined to drivers and vehicles in the hire and reward section of the industry, and it is interfering with the movement of essential supplies and services covered by the list of priorities that we have agreed with the unions concerned. I have had reports from chief officers of police about the conduct of the picketing. On the whole it remains peaceful, but there are beginning to be some exceptions to that, and there have in some instances been signs of intimidation.

The police, as always, will carry out their responsibilities under the law. But the need is to confine the picketing in accordance with the code of practice described by my right hon. Friend the Prime Minister. Arrangements have been made, under my direction, for Government officials and senior officials of the Transport and General Workers' Union to meet, so that any problems relating to priority supplies or extension of the dispute to unauthorised areas that are reported to the Government from the regions can be taken up forthwith with union officials. Monitoring meetings will be held daily, and the Government and the union officials will maintain continuing contacts.

The implementation of the code of practice on picketing to be issued by the Transport and General Workers' Union and the monitoring arrangements that I have described to the House would lead to an early and marked improvement in the movement of essential supplies and services all over the country. As my right hon. Friend has said, the Government believe that the balance of advantage lies in those voluntary measures to control the dispute and maintain priority supplies rather than in the Government's introducing direct emergency action. But we continue to be ready to call on the assistance of the Services or to proclaim a state of emergency if need be, and the necessary contingency plans for this are at a very high state of readiness.

As for the unofficial dispute in the London ambulance service, my right hon. Friend the Secretary of State for Defence and I have already made contingency plans for emergency arrangements to be provided by the Services, if this should prove necessary.

On the question of water, in the Pennine division the North-West water authority is maintaining piped water supplies to the vast majority of the population with industry. Of 350,000 households in the division, about 2,200 are without piped water owing to burst mains that have not been repaired. Most of these are scattered across the division in small groups. No one is without access to water. Standpipes have been erected for all except a few properties. Elsewhere, people are able to go to neighbours down the street. Sewage is a difficult matter. Nearly all sewage treatment plants are fully working, but it has been necessary to divert into the river parts of the flow at Bolton. Water flow in the river is reducing the effects of pollution.

Negotiations on pay in the water industry are taking place today and we must await the outcome. However, I can assure the House that there are contingency arrangements to help the North-West water authority at short notice.

Does the right hon. Gentleman recollect that on Monday he said:

"We are not near a crisis"?—[Official Report, 15th January 1979; Vol. 960, c. 1328.]
Surely his statement today and that of his right hon. Friend, and everything that is happening in this country, must convince even him that we now are. He will also remember that on Monday, on behalf of the Opposition, I promised full cooperation to the Government in any measures that they undertook to maintain essential supplies. Does the right hon. Gentleman not equally have to admit today the harsh reality that his own statement shows that the Government have not succeeded in carrying out their duty of maintaining essential supplies? Feedingstuffs are still not getting through as they should, there are mounting lay-offs, and the result is that in failing to maintain essential supplies the Government have actually failed the nation.

Will the Home Secretary now make clear his position in respect of chief constables of police? Has he issued any advice to them? If not, why not? In view of the arrangements that have been made about picketing with the Transport and General Workers' Union, should not the chief officers of police be advised by the Home Secretary exactly what those arrangements are?

Next, if he believes that the best way of proceeding—which is a very dubious way—is by these monitoring meetings, will he at least be prepared to make sure that the police are associated with those monitoring meetings and know what is going on and what is being arranged?

Next, in reference to the water situation, is it not pretty poor comfort to people in the areas concerned to be told that they are able to go to their neighbours down the street, in some of the weather we are having at the present time, in order to obtain water?

Lastly, is it not very eloquent testimony to the mounting chaos that we have today that a statement on maintaining essential services in industrial disputes makes no reference at all to the national rail strike today?

In these circumstances, will the Home Secretary undertake in all these matters to make a further statement to the House tomorrow?

I shall deal first with the matter of the police. I am glad that the right hon. Gentleman has raised it, because I can refer to what the right hon. Member for Finchley (Mrs. Thatcher) said earlier, since I have checked on the point that she made.

That is just what I am going to do. It is rather complicated, so perhaps hon. Gentlemen will listen.

The point at issue is that I do not have powers to instruct the police. The right hon. Lady did not know that. The right hon. Lady then, and the right hon. Gentleman now, said that I could advise the police, so I checked on the occasion referred to. The right hon. Lady talked about a circular. There was no circular. All that happened was that the Secretary of State of the day met some Labour Members of Parliament during the miners' strike. They said "Why do not the police locally get together with the officials?" A telex went down the line saying that the Labour Members of Parliament advised that there should be co-operation locally. There was no circular; there was no advice. I am quite prepared to spell that out. The right hon. Lady and the right hon. Gentleman have got it wrong.

All I propose to do is to advise down the line of the existence of the debate in the House today and what the right hon. Gentleman said. I cannot tell them what to do; in no way can that be done. There was no circular in the way the right hon. Lady suggested in the House the other day, and I have a letter here spelling it out.

With regard to the reality of the situation, I have no contingency arrangements that I want to deal with with regard to a railway strike. If right hon. and hon. Gentlemen will think about it, the judgment I have to make when I advise my colleagues, as I did a week or two ago when I was responsible for the oil position, concerns putting in soldiers with the vehicles that they have—and it would not necessarily mean a state of emergency because in the first instance they would use their own vehicles and a state of emergency would not be necessary for that. The judgment I have come to quite clearly is that the amount that could be supplied by the Army in the current situation would be less than is being supplied at the moment, and it would be the height of folly to have a state of emergency if as a result one supplied less than is being supplied now. I stick by that fact: the facts of the matter are quite clear.

With regard to the comments about a crisis situation, we are in a very grave situation. It is not universal in the country. The situation in the South-West, for example, has improved, I am advised. Therefore, what I am arguing against is the idea that the country is on its knees. It is not. There is a very serious and grave situation, but the argument that we have been brought to our knees is extremely silly.

I am grateful to my right hon. Friend the Home Secretary for his comments relating to the North-West water situation. I should also like to acknowledge the efforts of the chairman of the North-West water authority and the union officials to try to bring about a speedy settlement and to ensure the maintenance of services. But would not the Home Secretary agree with me that it is not sufficient to say to my constituency that the action is unofficial and expect that to be accepted as some kind of panacea for all our problems?

Does my right hon. Friend agree that good, clean water is a condition of efficient public health, and that great concern exists when those in the community, especially the young, the elderly and people in hospital, have to consume or use water that people would think twice about before putting down for pigs? If the dispute continues after today's negotiations, does he agree that urgent action will have to be taken by the Government to ensure public health standards? Is he aware that no one, least of all those in the House of Commons, would be excused from criticism if typhoid were to break out?

I agree with everything that my hon. Friend says. My responsibility is in aid of the civil power. The arrangements are ready to be set in train. It is for the water authority to make the request, and when it does the Services will move in to provide what is necessary for essential supplies.

Is the Home Secretary aware that my constituents will welcome the part of his statement that deals with the Pennine water authority, if only for the reason that it is the first statement that the Goverment have made about the water industry in my area? Some of us find it disgusting that the first Government statement is made nearly eight days after consumers have been advised that before they touch one drop of water they should boil it. Is the right hon. Gentleman aware that thousands of homes have no water?

For how long does he propose to wait before setting in motion the contingency arrangements to which he has referred? Secondly, is he as concerned about the quality of water, to which his statement does not refer, as he is about the supply of water, to which his statement does refer? What action does he propose to take to ensure that the water that is being supplied is pure water which people may drink with confidence?

The method is important. I with my right hon. Friend the Prime Minister have been ready for a number of days. The contingency plans are ready. I have no power to order in the soldiers. I have no powers to tell them to go into the hon. Gentleman's area. They have to be asked in, and the judgment of those concerned was that they did not want the soldiers in yet. There would be problems. If the soldiers go in, we shall need the co-operation of some of the water authority's personnel who know their way round. When soldiers go into that area, they will need to be guided. Some of the supervisory staff will be needed to help in those circumstances. Opposition Members are laughing at the advice that the Army has given.

May I ask my right hon. Friend to add calor gas supplies to the list of priority supplies, bearing in mind that many people in rural areas of my constituency and in other parts of the country rely solely on calor gas for cooking and part of their heating?

That is a matter that has been discussed since the original code. If my hon. Friend has in mind his area, perhaps he will let me know the facts.

As the right hon. Gentleman's statement refers to difficulties concerned with food supplies both for human beings and for animals, will he consider making arrangements for his right hon. Friend the Minister of Agriculture, Fisheries and Food to put in an appearance on Monday to give some details of the situation?

I shall pass on the right hon. Gentleman's remarks to my right hon. Friend, who has been concerned every day and night with these matters.

Nobody is doubting the concern of the Minister of Agriculture, Fisheries and Food. We should like him to give some details.

Does my right hon. Friend agree that there are two common threads running through the whole of these industrial disputes? One thread is the fact that these workers, whom many people did not care tuppence about for ages, have now seemingly turned out to be extremely important and necessary to the nation's lifeblood. Secondly, they are, in the main, low-paid workers. Is my right hon. Friend aware that the so-called imbalance of power, with a shift towards the unions, has meant that lorry drivers are still on £52 a week—they are striving to get a bit more—and that 1 million public sector workers will be on strike on Monday, some of whom are receiving less than £40 a week take-home pay? However, the Tory press and the Tories are commiserating this morning because Michael Edwardes, the British Leyland chairman, cannot manage on £100,000 a year.

Who is essential to the community? There has been discussion about that recently. Those who are essential are not only people who are on strike. I think that the right hon. Lady the Leader of the Opposition said that those who are essential could go on strike and bring the country to its knees. There are small groups in that position throughout the country. At the end of the day the right hon. Lady would find that she would be giving higher wages to not a small group but an extremely large group. Over the past 20 years and beyond, and certainly in recent years, one of the problems about payment for the lower paid that has applied within the trade union movement is that some in that movement say "Yes, pay extra to the lower paid, but we want the extra as well." That is a great difficulty in operating a pay policy.

Will the right hon. Gentleman acknowledge that one area of supply vital to the British economy that he has not mentioned is that of supplies to the North Sea oil industry? Is he aware that there have been repeated warnings to the Department of Energy both last week and this week that supplies of vital fluids, such as those for the servicing of blow-out prevention equipment, are not getting through? In these circumstances, there is a risk not only to human life but of pollution in the North Sea on a scale that has never been seen before. The Department of Energy is doing nothing. Will the right hon. Gentleman do something about it?

The hon. Gentleman has referred to one problem in the North Sea. There are other problems. My right hon. Friend the Secretary of State for Scotland is involved—

We are aware of the problem. We have been discussing the problem and obviously steps will be taken to deal with it. It is a matter not only of doing something about it but of discussing it in the Aberdeen area.

Is my right hon. Friend aware that the dispute in the Pennine area of the North-West water authority is only partially caused by pay, and arises especially from the deep-seated grievance of employees that has grown over the five years since the gang on the Opposition Benches reorganised the water industry? Is he further aware that inflammatory actions and words at this stage, and the movement of the Army, would only exacerbate the feelings of the men, who feel isolated from their union and from the management.

I shall come to that. The men are affected as well. Will my right hon. Friend join with the Minister of State, Department of the Environment in ensuring that a full inquiry takes place into the conditions of those who are engaged in the dispute so that we may get the men back to work, provide better employment for them and, as a result, provide a better service for the consumer?

I shall pass that on to the Minister concerned. My hon. Friend is absolutely right. I have one view on the need to bring in the soldiers, but there are others with different views who believe that the dispute would spread. We ought to be careful about what we say.

Does not the Home Secretary agree that his freedom to act in the interests of the nation is gravely restrained because in the House there are 21 right hon. and hon. Gentlemen who are members of the Transport and General Workers' Union and who are all members of his party? Seven are members of the Government and two are members of the Cabinet.

Does my right hon. Friend realise that there are 2 million members of the Transport and General Workers' Union in this country, so there certainly should be some members in this House? There is great resentment at the orchestrated attack on 11 million trade unionists and their families, particularly the TGWU workers.

Does my right hon. Friend recall that in the recent petrol tanker drivers' dispute he was receiving demands from the Opposition to declare a state of emergency? The Government were right and the Opposition wrong in that case. Whilst we on this side of the House recognise that there might need to be a state of emergency, we hope that we can settle the matter without that. We continue to seek co-operation with the trade union movement and not the confrontation that the Tory leader and her party want at present.

With regard to oil, I repeat that we had co-operation from the Transport and General Workers' Union and, indeed, very importantly, from the oil companies. Although we were asked to bring in the Army and declare a state of emergency in that dispute, it would have been a waste of time. We were right then. In the present situation, it is too early to make a judgment because the dispute is nowhere near finished.

Several Hon. Members rose

I appeal to hon. Members to ask as brief questions as they can rather than to advance arguments.

In view of the Prime Minister's categoric statement that no picket has any right to stop any vehicle, will the Home Secretary embody that in a circular to all chief constables tonight so that they enforce the law? This has not been happening outside Avon docks.

I shall ensure that the hon. Gentleman's view as to the role of the police at Avon docks is passed on. As to advising the police, when an Act is passed in this House it is brought to the notice of the police in the form of a circular.

The day before yesterday, I discussed the situation in the London area with the Metropolitan Police Commissioner. He gave me an example which illustrates the problem. He knows the law and does not need to be advised on it. He told me of an industrial estate on the east side of London where a policeman reported that a vehicle came along and was flagged down by the pickets, who were official pickets. They had a word and the vehicle turned round and went back. There was nothing wrong in that. There was no violence or intimidation used. It is not the job of the policeman to make a judgment on that when it is done peacefully. That is the law of picketing.

My right hon. Friend referred to the possibility of contingency plans which might be required in the Greater London area because of the ambulance drivers' dispute. May I remind him, as I did his right hon. Friend the Secretary of State for Social Services, that the official policy of the four major trade unions involved is for them to provide, with their colleagues, proper cover or the Greater London area, although that might not be possible in some parts of London?

My right hon. Friend mentioned that he has contingency plans. Will he be prepared to discuss the possibility of using these plans with the executives and officers of the trade unions involved, who, I feel sure, will be glad to co-operate in them?

We will be happy to do that and this is a matter for my right hon. Friend the Secretary of State for Social Services. It will have to be done, and I think that that is the best way of doing it.

Does the Home Secretary realise that when he described the situation that has developed in this country many of us felt that he was describing the need for an immediate declaration of a state of emergency? I, too, have been making investigations this morning, from a large feedingstuffs manufacturer in my constituency. I learned that the machinery for making an arbitrary judgment on the picket line on whether to issue a dispensation certificate is not working efficiently. A certificate issued in Canterbury is not accepted at Tilbury docks or across the estuary in Essex. Surely the Secretary of State and the Prime Minister should again go back to Moss Evans and ask him whether he can control the situation effectively. The system does not seem to be working efficiently.

I have checked on all occasions when a state of emergency has taken place over the past 16 years, and states of emergency were used far more by the Conservatives. In the column "Action Taken", it says "nil". When I inquired why it was done, I was told that it was for cosmetic effect and that the Tory Party believed in cosmetics. We are not prepared to deal with this in a cosmetic way. I shall bring the hon. Gentleman's point to the notice of the emergency committee.

Does the Home Secretary agree that for over 100 years the law has given working men and women the right to picket in furtherance of an industrial dispute, but that the physical assaults on pickets widely reported in the press are a violation of that right? Secondly, will he look at an article in theDaily Express on Tuesday, which can only be construed as an incitement to violence?

Will he bring it to the attention of the Attorney-General? There is a danger that the press, in its anxiety to make a party cause, will create civil disorder and cause bloodshed.

I shall certainly bring it to the notice of my right hon. Friend, Physical assaults and intimidation are against the law. That is absolutely clear. The chief constables have reported to me that to a large degree, unlike the position in the strikes four years ago, there is very little physical violence. Where it does take place, it is illegal.

Having listened to the Prime Minister and the Home Secretary, I think that most people must have grave doubts as to the effect of the voluntary code. Has the Home Secretary nothing to say about what will happen if unofficial secondary picketing continues, when drivers are obliged to turn back either because of intimidation or fear of the consequences if they do not obey the pickets? Will there be any follow-up by the police to question the drivers and find out why they turned back, or is the Home Secretary content to see the matter dealt with in the way that the pickets outside Cadbury-Schweppes were swept away by the girls inside?

I read about that occurrence; it may happen in a number of places. The pickets must take that into account. The other problem is that, with the police being scattered around, intimidation may take place on pickets when there is no policeman present. The police cannot cover every eventuality. Where there is intimidation, it is illegal, wrong and against the best traditions of the trade union movement.