Yts

asked the Paymaster General if he will publish, for each Manpower Services Commision area office and for (a) 16-year-olds. (b) 17-year-olds and (c) 18-year-olds, the latest careers service estimates of the number and proportion expected to leave school and further education college, and the number and proportion

Table 1: Results of the careers service exercise by MSC area office: December 1985
Area	Total eligible to leave school	Number of school leavers	School leavers as a proportion of numbers eligible to leave school Per cent.	Number of school leavers in a full time job outside YTS	School leavers in a full time iob outside YTS as a proportion of all school leavers Per cent.	Number in a full time job outside YTS as a proportion of those eligible to leave school Per cent.
South East
Chatham, Kent
Age 16	21,663	10,832	50·0	4,874	45·0	22·5
Age 17	6,615	2,051	31·0	1,231	60·0	18·6
Age 18	4,092	1,269	31·0	1,142	90·0	27·9
Chelmsford
Age 16	21,721	12,918	59·5	6,692	51·8	30·8
Age 17	6,885	2,650	38·5	1,969	74·3	28·6
Age 18	4,279	1,840	43·0	1,767	96·0	41·3
Fareham
Age 16	22,179	12,050	54·3	5,151	42·7	23·2
Age 17	5,508	1,859	33·8	1,147	61·7	20·8
Age 18	3,653	1,552	42·5	1,386	89·3	37·9
High Wycombe
Age 16	n.a.	n.a.	n.a.	n.a.	n.a.	n.a.
Age 17	n.a.	n.a.	n.a.	n.a.	n.a.	n.a.
Age 18	n.a.	n.a.	n.a.	n.a.	n.a.	n.a.
Horsham
Age 16	27,797	12,545	45·1	7,277	58·0	26·2
Age 17	11,620	3,459	29·8	1,911	55·2	16·4
Age 18	7,290	1,875	25·7	1,806	96·3	24·8
Reading
Age 16	17,406	8,996	51·7	4,810	53·5	27·6
Age 17	5,550	1,543	27·8	906	58·7	16·3
Age 18	3,571	862	24·1	804	93·3	22·5
London
London North
Age 16	17,239	n.a.	n.a.	n.a.	n.a.	n.a.
Age 17	8,366	n.a.	n.a.	n.a.	n.a.	n.a.
Age 18	4,905	n.a.	n.a.	n.a.	n.a.	n.a.
London North East
Age 16	20,595	11,627	56·5	5,484	47·2	26·6
Age 17	6,483	2,562	39·5	1,308	51·1	20·2
Age 18	3,159	1,338	42·4	897	67·0	28·4
London South East
Age 16	22,282	11,656	52·3	5,887	50·5	26·4
Age 17	7,623	2,925	38·4	1,580	54·0	20·7
Age 18	3,904	1,507	38·6	1,030	68·3	26·4
London South and West
Age 16	21,411	8,397	39·2	5,196	61·9	24·3
Age 17	8,056	2,273	28·2	1,597	70·3	19·8
Age 18	4,624	1,457	31·5	1,261	86·5	27·3
South West
Avon
Age 16	12,589	7,379	58·6	2,642	35·8	21·0
Age 17	3,853	1,079	28·0	647	60·0	16·8
Age 18	2,546	738	29·0	610	82·7	24·0

expected to find work outside the youth training scheme by 31 December; and how these figures have changed from those available at the end of 1985.

The figures supplied in the tables refer to the numbers of young people leaving school. Results are missing from a few Manpower Service Commission areas due to incomplete returns from some local education authorities. Information on the number of leavers from colleges of further education is not readily available.

Area	Total eligible to leave school	Number of school leavers	School leavers as a proportion of numbers eligible to leave school Per cent.	Number of school leavers in a full time job outside YTS	School leavers in a full time job outside YTS as a proportion of all school leavers Per cent.	Number in a full time job outside YTS as a proportion of those eligible to leave school Per cent.
Devon and Cornwall
Age 16	19,673	10,457	53·2	3,019	28·9	15·3
Age 17	4,372	778	17·8	444	57·1	10·2
Age 18	3,095	548	17·7	413	75·4	13·3
Gloucester/Wiltshire
Age 16	15,106	8,845	58·6	3,772	42·6	25·0
Age 17	3,377	784	23·2	474	60·5	14·0
Age 18	2,685	1,022	38·1	822	80·4	30·6
Taunton/Somerset/Dorset
Age 16	14,264	8,613	60·4	3,326	38·6	23·3
Age 17	3,577	1,233	34·5	843	68·4	23·6
Age 18	2,595	669	25·8	561	83·9	21·6
West Midlands
Birmingham
Age 16	19,543	10,480	53·6	2,346	22·4	12·0
Age 17	5,022	851	16·9	366	43·0	7·3
Age 18	3,128	584	18·7	472	80·8	15·1
Coventry/Warwick
Age 16	12,562	6,874	54·7	1,834	26·7	14·6
Age 17	2,845	834	29·3	283	33·9	9·9
Age 18	2,255	616	27·3	400	64·9	17·7
Dudley/Sandwell
Age 16	9,883	6,378	64·5	1,053	16·5	10·7
Age 17	1,728	558	32·3	147	26·3	8·5
Age 18	1,244	453	36·4	176	38·9	14·1
The Marches
Age 16	15,383	8,300	54·0	2,361	28·4	15·3
Age 17	3,821	958	25·1	328	34·2	8·6
Age 18	2,584	545	21·1	357	65·5	13·8
Staffordshire
Age 16	16,160	10,471	64·8	1,471	14·0	9·1
Age 17	3,697	782	21·2	278	35·6	7·5
Age 18	2,612	1,216	46·6	727	59·8	27·8
Wolverhampton
Age 16	9,040	4,860	53·8	961	19·8	10·6
Age 17	2,134	646	30·3	234	36·2	11·0
Age 18	1,436	379	26·4	241	63·6	16·8
East Midlands and Eastern
Derby
Age 16	14,140	8,004	56·6	1,946	24·3	13·8
Age 17	2,675	320	12·0	160	50·0	6·0
Age 18	2,207	530	24·0	441	83·2	20·0
Leicestershire
Age 16	21,455	12,074	56·3	5,653	46·8	76·3
Age 17	6,720	2,076	30·9	1,400	67·4	20·8
Age 18	3,860	1,211	31·4	1,034	85·4	26·8
Lincoln
Age 16	8,198	4,724	57·6	1,224	25·9	14·9
Age 17	1,900	275	14·5	130	47·3	6·8
Age 18	1,320	315	23·9	245	77·8	18·6
Nottingham
Age 16	16,077	9,325	58·0	2,733	29·3	17·0
Age 17	3,296	824	25·0	396	48·1	12·0
Age 18	2,561	691	27·0	512	74·1	20·0
Luton
Age 16	15,149	7,553	49·9	3,584	47·5	23·7
Age 17	4,783	1,113	23·3	795	71·4	16·6

Area	Total eligible to leave school	Number of school leavers	School leavers as a proportion of numbers eligible to leave school Per cent.	Number of school leavers in a full time job outside YTS	School leavers in a full time job outside YTS as a proportion of all school leavers Per cent.	Number in a full time job outside YTS as a proportion of those eligible to leave school Per cent.
Age 18	2,835	804	28·4	720	89·6	25·4
Ipswich
Age 16	18,502	11,064	59·8	4,142	37·4	22·4
Age 17	4,547	1,121	24·7	620	55·3	13·6
Age 18	2,981	1,384	46·4	767	55·4	25·7
Yorkshire and Humberside
Bradford, Calderdale, Kirklees
Age 16	16,676	10,217	61·5	3,179	31·1	19·1
Age 17	4,670	1,353	29·0	714	52·8	15·3
Age 18	2,893	1,123	38·8	617	54·9	21·3
Humberside
Age 16	14,006	9,020	64·4	2,275	25·2	16·2
Age 17	3,546	1,109	31·3	479	43·2	13·5
Age 18	2,500	625	25·0	425	68·0	17·0
Leeds/North Yorkshire
Age 16	20,190	10,744	53·2	4,172	38·8	20·7
Age 17	6,140	1,703	27·7	903	53·0	14·7
Age 18	3,984	1,038	26·1	690	66·5	17·3
Sheffield/Rotherham
Age 16	12,851	8,019	62·4	1,103	13·8	8·6
Age 17	3,390	797	23·5	201	25·2	5·9
Age 18	2,302	628	27·3	388	61·8	16·9
Wakefield/Barnsley, Doncaster
Age 16	13,709	9,136	66·7	1,742	19·1	12·7
Age 17	2,682	790	29·5	292	37·0	10·9
Age 18	1,602	509	31·8	283	55·6	17·7
North West
Cheshire
Age 16	14,619	8,038	55·0	1,770	22·0	12·1
Age 17	4,362	918	21·0	337	36·7	7·7
Age 18	3,077	563	18·3	362	64·3	11·8
Cumbria
Age 16	7,582	5,046	66·6	2,096	41·5	27·6
Age 17	1,831	428	23·4	244	57·0	13·3
Age 18	1,298	333	25·6	227	68·2	17·5
Greater Manchester Central
Age 16	13,072	7·524	57·6	1,862	24·7	14·2
Age 17	3,671	653	17·8	281	43·0	7·7
Age 18	2,906	841	28·9	520	61·8	17·9
Greater Manchester East
Age 16	11,479	6,575	57·3	1,799	27·4	15·7
Age 17	3,455	734	21·1	455	62·0	13·2
Age 18	2,028	705	34·8	607	86·1	30·0
Greater Manchester North
Age 16	15,400	9,337	60·6	1,955	20·9	12·7
Age 17	3,463	823	23·8	318	38·6	9·2
Age 18	2,636	605	23·0	256	42·3	9·7
Lancashire
Age 16	21,034	11,574	55·0	3,714	32·1	17·7
Age 17	2,983	478	16·0	160	33·5	5·4
Age 18	2,420	680	28·1	400	58·9	16·5
Merseyside Inner
Age 16	12,274	7,492	61·0	812	10·8	6·6
Age 17	3,218	920	28·6	I88	20·4	5·8
Age 18	2,295	954	41·6	285	29·9	12·4
Merseyside Outer
Age 16	n.a.	n.a.	n.a.	n.a.	n.a.	n.a

Area	Total eligible to leave school	Number of school leavers	School leavers as a proportion of numbers eligible to leave school Per cent.	Number of school leavers in a full time job outside YTS	School leavers in a full time job outside YTS as a proportion of all school leavers Per cent.	Number in a full time job outside YTS as a proportion of those eligible to leave school Per cent.
Age 17	n.a.	n.a.	n.a.	n.a.	n.a.	n.a.
Age 18	n.a.	n.a.	n.a.	n.a.	n.a.	n.a.
Northern
Cleveland
Age 16	9,562	6,111	63·9	933	15·3	9·8
Age 17	2,667	705	26·4	251	35·6	9·4
Age 18	2,211	761	34·3	423	55·6	19·1
Durham>
Age 16	9,329	6,295	67·5	1,005	16·0	10·8
Age 17	1,981	526	26·6	150	28·5	7·6
Age 18	1,418	183	12·9	103	56·3	7·3
North Tyne
Age 16	10,709	6,642	62·0	1,499	22·6	14·0
Age 17	3,131	999	31·9	405	40·5	12·9
Age 18	2,056	730	35·5	509	69·7	24·8
South Tyne
Age 16	10,243	7,207	70·4	956	13·3	9·3
Age 17	2,089	623	29·8	232	37·2	11·1
Age 18	1,364	434	31·8	192	44·2	14·1
Wales
Cardiff
Age 16	14,463	7,539	52·1	1,668	22·1	11·5
Age 17	4,882	1,396	28·6	633	45·3	13·0
Age 18	3,228	867	26·9	416	48·0	12·9
Gwent
Age 16	6,989	3,744	53·6	719	19·2	10·3
Age 17	1,944	464	23·9	174	37·5	9·0
Age 18	1,140	219	19·2	134	61·2	11·8
Swansea
Age 16	10,563	5,178	49·0	1,073	20·7	10·2
Age 17	3,487	659	18·9	179	27·2	5·1
Age 18	2,300	313	13·6	210	67·1	9·1
Wrexham
Age 16	11,724	5,997	51·2	1,488	24·8	12·7
Age 17	4,205	1,310	31·2	633	48·3	15·1
Age 18	2,444	536	21·9	410	76·5	16·8
Scotland
Ayrshire, Dumfries and Galloway
Age 16	10,595	4,974	46·5	1,313	26·4	12·3
Age 17	2,644	1,126	42·6	543	48·2	20·5
Age 18	933	346	37·1	252	72·8	27·0
Central and Fife
Age 16	13,265	6,289	47·4	1,397	22·2	10·5
Age 17	2,694	1,282	47·6	538	42·0	20·0
Age 18	1,074	492	45·8	280	56·9	26·1
Glasgow City
Age 16	13,158	7,429	56·5	2,047	27·6	15·6
Age 17	2,192	1,150	52·5	535	46·5	24·4
Age 18	824	377	45·8	262	69·5	31·8
Grampian and Tayside
Age 16	17,385	6,257	36·0	2,476	39·6	14·2
Age 17	3,378	924	27·4	472	51·0	14·0
Age 18	1,264	243	19·2	151	62·1	11·9
Highlands and Islands
Age 16	5,367	2,349	43·8	897	38·2	16·7
Age 17	1,407	559	39·7	301	53·8	21·4
Age 18	547	218	39·9	139	63·8	25·4

Area	Total eligible to leave school	Number of school leavers	School leavers as a proportion of numbers eligible to leave school Per cent.	Number of school leavers in a full time job outside YTS	School leavers in a full time job outside YTS as a proportion of all school leavers Per cent.	Number in a full time job outside YTS as a proportion of those eligible to leave school Per cent.
Lanarkshire
Age 16	11,826	5,107	43·2	867	17·0	7·3
Age 17	2,340	956	40·9	296	31·0	12·6
Age 18	893	315	35·3	142	45·1	15·9
Lothian/Borders
Age 16	15,442	6,836	44·3	2,683	39·2	17·4
Age 17	3,072	1,236	40·2	743	60·1	24·2
Age 18	1,136	439	38·6	330	75·2	29·0
Renfrew, Dumbarton and Argyll
Age 16	15,068	5,763	38·2	1,173	20·4	7·8
Age 17	4,032	1,643	40·7	694	42·2	17·2
Age 18	1,573	588	38·9	368	62·6	24·3

Notes:

n/a = Results are not available or are incomplete.

The figures are subject to error and should be treated as approximate.

Table 2
Results of the careers service exercise by MSC area office: December 1986
Area	Total eligible to leave school	Number of school leavers	School leavers as a proportion of numbers eligible to leave school Per cent.	Number of school leavers in a full time job outside YTS	School leavers in a full time job outside YTS as a proportion of all school leavers Per cent.	Number in a full time job outside YTS as a proportion of those eligible to leave school Per cent.
South East
Chatham, Kent
Age 16	21,133	10,814	51·2	4,330	40·0	20·5
Age 17	7,049	2,185	31·0	1,311	60·0	18·6
Age 18	4,036	1,399	34·7	1,259	90·0	31·2
Chelmsford
Age 16	21,643	13,215	61·1	6,339	48·0	29·3
Age 17	6,684	1,845	27·6	1,225	66·4	18·3
Age 18	3,970	1,386	34·9	1,333	96·2	33·6
Fareham
Age 16	21,512	11,024	51·2	4,816	43·7	22·4
Age 17	5,263	1,505	28·6	1,002	66·6	19·0
Age 18	3,792	1,070	28·6	888	83·0	23·7
High Wycombe
Age 16	22,014	10,694	48·6	6,445	60·3	29·3
Age 17	8,041	1,846	23·0	1,293	70·0	16·1
Age 18	5,416	1,316	24·3	1,197	91·0	22·1
Horsham
Age 16	27,010	12,531	46·4	7,425	59·3	27·5
Age 17	11,513	3,362	29·2	1,999	59·5	17·4
Age 18	7,109	1,700	23·9	1,628	95·8	22·9
Reading
Age 16	17,087	9,076	53·1	5,217	57·5	30·5
Age 17	5,961	1,724	28·9	1,371	77·2	22·3
Age 18	3,799	1,090	28·7	1,037	95·1	27·3
South West
Avon
Age 16	12,312	7,404	60·1	2,554	34·5	20·7
Age 17	3,766	1,214	32·2	829	68·3	22·0
Age 18	2,330	739	31·7	665	90·0	28·5
Devon and Cornwall
Age 16	18,726	10,668	57·0	2,977	27·9	15·9
Age 17	4,436	1,144	25·8	457	39·9	10·3
Age 18	2,761	710	25·7	543	76·5	19·7

Area	Total eligible to leave school	Number of school leavers	School leavers as a proportion of numbers eligible to leave school Per cent.	Number of school leavers in a full time job outside YTS	School leavers in a full time job outside YTS as a proportion of all school leavers Per cent.	Number in a full time job outside YTS as a proportion of those eligible to leave school Per cent.
Gloucester and Wiltshire
Age 16	14,444	7,883	54·6	3,728	47·3	25·8
Age 17	3,538	845	23·9	613	72·5	17·3
Age 18	2,281	693	30·4	640	92·3	28·1
Taunton, Somerset and Dorset
Age 16	13,541	8.061	59·5	2,643	32·8	19·5
Age 17	3,144	933	29·7	616	66·0	19·6
Age 18	2,470	698	28·3	539	77·2	21·8
West Midlands
Birmingham
Age 16	n/a	n/a	n/a	n/a	n/a	n/a
Age 17	n/a	n/a	n/a	n/a	n/a	n/a
Age 18	n/a	n/a	n/a	n/a	n/a	n/a
Coventry/Warwick
Age 16	11,641	6,870	59·0	1,838	26·8	15·8
Age 17	2,836	863	30·4	304	35·2	10·7
Age 18	2,229	641	28·8	321	50·1	14·4
Dudley/Sandwcll
Age 16	9,724	6,479	66·6	1,139	17·6	11·7
Age 17	1,640	438	26·7	88	20·1	5·4
Age 18	1,190	484	40·7	236	48·8	19·8
The Marches
Age 16	14,901	8,081	54·2	2,284	28·3	15·3
Age 17	4,267	1,160	27·2	452	39·0	10·6
Age 18	2,514	666	26·5	479	71·9	19·1
Staffordshire
Age 16	15,856	10,594	66·8	1,495	14·1	9·4
Age 17	3,600	720	20·0	221	30·7	6·1
Age 18	2,454	780	31·8	534	68·5	21·8
Wolverhampton
Age 16	8,981	5,957	66·3	1,192	20·0	13·3
Age 17	2,150	n/a	n/a	n/a	n/a	n/a
Age 18	1,316	n/a	n/a	n/a	n/a	n/a
East Midlands and Eastern
Derby
Age 16	13,529	7,493	55·4	1,928	25·7	14·3
Age 17	3,045	453	14·9	257	56·7	8·4
Age 18	1,995	5·28	26·5	402	76·1	20·2
Leicestershire
Age 16	20,819	11,079	53·2	4,940	44·6	23·7
Age 17	6,862	1,872	27·3	1,059	56·6	15·4
Age 18	4,226	1,149	27·2	953	82·9	22·6
Lincoln
Age 16	8,006	4,671	58·3	975	20·9	12·2
Age 17	1,852	180	10·3	100	55·6	5·7
Age 18	1,400	345	24·6	280	81·2	20·0
Nottingham
Age 16	14,727	8,831	60·0	2,239	25·4	15·2
Age 17	3,347	1,793	53·6	933	52·0	27·9
Age 18	2,212	n/a	n/a	n/a	n/a	n/a
Luton
Age 16	15,037	8,025	53·4	4,163	51·9	27·7
Age 17	4,543	1.257	27·7	657	52·3	14·5
Age 18	2,729	923	33·8	806	87·3	29·5
Ipswich
Age 16	18,287	11,026	60·3	4,027	36·5	22·0

Area	Total eligible to leave school	Number of school leavers	School leavers as a proportion of numbers eligible to leave school Per cent.	Number of school leavers in a full time job outside YTS	School leavers in a full time job outside YTS as a proportion of all school leavers Per cent.	Number in a full time job outside YTS as a proportion of those eligible to leave school Per cent.
Age 17	4.609	1,289	28·0	730	56·6	15·8
Age 18	2,796	902	32·3	764	84·7	27·3
Yorkshire and Humberside
Bradford. Calderdale and Kirklees
Age 16	16,764	9,954	59·4	3,027	30·4	18·1
Age 17	4,974	1,255	25·2	495	39·4	10·0
Age 18	3,294	1,411	42·8	793	56·2	24·1
Humberside
Age 16	13,645	8,922	65·4	2,121	23·8	15·6
Age 17	3,637	1,065	29·3	391	36·7	10·8
Age 18	2,500	625	25·0	425	68·0	17·0
Leeds/North Yorkshire
Age 16	19,464	10,773	55·3	4,410	40·9	22·7
Age 17	6,023	1,789	29·7	974	54·4	16·2
Age 18	3,668	867	23·6	701	80·9	19·1
Sheffield/Rotherham
Age 16	12,530	8,455	67·5	1,163	13·8	9·3
Age 17	3,421	900	26·3	144	16·0	4·2
Age 18	2,271	796	35·1	401	50·4	17·7
Wakefield/Barnsley/Doncaster
Age 16	13,684	9,366	68·4	1,770	18·9	12·9
Age 17	2,582	758	29·4	253	33·4	9·8
Age 18	1,685	622	36·9	249	40·0	14·8
North West
Cheshire
Age 16	14,580	8,098	55·5	1,676	20·7	11·5
Age 17	4,338	1,014	23·4	374	36·9	56·3
Age 18	2,976	564	19·0	400	70·9	13·4
Cumbria
Age 16	7,264	4,747	65·3	1,953	41·1	26·9
Age 17	1,706	383	22·5	264	68·9	15·5
Age 18	1,406	308	21·9	241	78·2	17·1
Greater Manchester Central
Age 16	13,508	7,768	57·6	1,941	25·0	14·3
Age 17	3,428	592	17·3	201	34·0	5·9
Age 18	2,620	704	26·9	448	63·6	7·7
Greater Manchester East
Age 16	11,387	6,999	61·5	1,732	24·7	15·2
Age 17	2,693	777	28·8	451	58·0	16·7
Age 18	1,924	262	13·6	194	74·0	10·1
Greater Manchester North
Age 16	15,124	9,144	60·5	2,183	23·9	14·4
Age 17	3,738	786	21·0	304	38·7	8·1
Age 18	2,694	637	23·6	377	59·2	14·0
Lancashire
Age 16	20,346	11,373	55·9	3,280	28·9	16·1
Age 17	2,922	650	22·2	300	46·2	10·3
Age 18	2,634	680	25·8	380	55·9	14·4
Merseyside Inner
Age 16	12,158	7,109	58·5	907	12·8	7·5
Age 17	3,652	930	25·5	292	31·4	8·0
Age 18	2,321	660	28·4	468	70·9	20·2
Merseyside Outer
Age 16	10,965	6,111	55·7	909	14·9	8·3
Age 17	2,713	714	26·3	218	30·5	8·0
Age 18	1,749	402	23·0	267	66·4	15·3

Area	Total eligible to leave school	Number of school leavers	School leavers as a proportion of numbers eligible to leave school Per cent.	Number of school leavers in a full time job outside YTS	School leavers in a full time job outside YTS as a proportion of all school leavers Per cent.	Number in a full time job outside YTS as a proportion of those eligible to leave school Per cent.
Northern
Cleveland
Age 16	8,920	5,992	67·2	941	15·7	10·5
Age 17	2,768	574	20·7	234	40·8	8·5
Age 18	2,092	566	27·1	321	56·7	15·3
Durham
Age 16	8,764	5,646	64·4	890	15·8	10·2
Age 17	1,936	522	27·0	135	25·9	7·0
Age 18	1,375	165	12·0	96	58·2	7·0
North Tyne
Age 16	10,429	6,621	63·5	1,399	21·1	13·4
Age 17	3,212	998	31·1	374	37·5	11·6
Age 18	2,070	721	34·9	433	60·1	20·9
South Tyne
Age 16	10,181	7,380	72·5	1,119	15·7	11·0
Age 17	2,683	794	29·6	282	35·6	10·5
Age 18	1,582	596	37·7	262	44·0	16·6
Wales
Cardiff
Age 16	13,765	7,035	51·1	1,413	20·0	10·3
Age 17	5,195	1,397	26·9	583	41·7	11·2
Age 18	3,232	713	22·1	526	73·7	16·3
Gwent
Age 16	6,509	3,514	54·0	682	18·6	10·5
Age 17	2,026	615	30·4	163	26·5	8·1
Age 18	1,168	239	20·5	158	66·1	13·5
Swansea
Age 16	10,154	5,021	49·4	864	17·2	85·1
Age 17	2,964	770	26·0	296	38·4	10·0
Age 18	2,049	393	19·2	262	66·7	12·8
Wrexham
Age 16	11,241	6,064	53·9	1,552	25·6	13·8
Age 17	3,609	1,067	29·6	393	36·8	10·9
Age 18	2,140	490	22·9	322	65·7	15·0
Scotland
Ayrshire, Dumfries and Galloway
Age 16	9,701	4,657	48·0	851	18·3	8·8
Age 17	2,662	1,170	44·0	437	37·4	16·4
Age 18	967	356	36·8	217	61·0	36·8
Central and Fife
Age 16	12,567	6,119	41·5	1,213	19·8	9·7
Age 17	2,588	1,177	45·5	493	41·9	19·0
Age 18	1,039	431	41·5	258	60·0	24·8
Glasgow
Age 16	12,375	7,092	57·3	1,841	26·0	14·9
Age 17	2,090	1,243	59·5	569	45·8	27·2
Age 18	805	461	57·3	305	66·2	37·9
Grampian and Tayside
Age 16	17,476	5,902	39·5	2,072	30·0	11·9
Age 17	3,380	931	27·5	445	47·8	13·2
Age 18	1,261	256	20·3	188	73·3	15·0
Highlands and Islands
Age 16	5,345	2,294	42·9	729	31·8	13·6
Age 17	1,416	547	38·6	269	49·2	19·0
Age 18	532	198	37·2	123	62·1	23·1
Lanarkshire
Age 16	12,064	5,468	45·3	854	15·6	7·1
Age 17	2,274	1,048	46·1	327	31·2	14·4

Area	Total eligible to leave school	Number of school leavers	School leavers as a proportion of numbers eligible to leave school Per cent.	Number of school leavers in a full time job outside YTS	School leavers in a full time job outside YTS as a proportion of all school leavers Per cent.	Number in a full time job outside YTS as a proportion of those eligible to leave school Per cent.
Age 18	854	368	43·1	166	45·1	19·1
Lothian and Borders
Age 16	14,539	6,584	45·3	2,527	38·4	17·4
Age 17	2,936	1,254	42·7	781	62·3	26·6
Age 18	1,104	453	41·0	367	81·0	33·2
Renfrew, Dunbarton and Argyll
Age 16	14,046	5,442	38·7	1,085	19·9	7·7
Age 17	3,819	1,519	39·8	602	11·1	15·8
Age 18	1,445	545	37·7	324	59·4	22·4

Notes:

n/a = Results are not available or are incomplete.

There are currently no estimates for the London offices due to delays in obtaining returns.

The figures are subject to error and should be treated as approximated.

Table 3
Results of the Careers Service Exercise by MSC Area Office: Change December 1985–86
	Change in the number eligible to leave school	Change in the number of school leavers	Change in the number of school leavers in a full time job outside YTS
South East
Chatham, Kent
Age 16	-530	-18	-544
Age 17	413	134	80
Age 18	-56	130	117
Chelmsford
Age 16	-78	297	-353
Age 17	-201	-805	-744
Age 18	-309	-454	-434
Fareham
Age 16	-667	-1,026	-335
Age 17	-245	-354	-145
Age 18	89	-482	-498
High Wycombe
Age 16	n/a	n/a	n/a
Age 17	n/a	n/a	n/a
Age 18	n/a	n/a	n/a
Horsham
Age 16	-787	-14	148
Age 17	-107	-97	88
Age 18	-181	-175	-178
Reading
Age 16	-319	80	407
Age 17	411	181	425
Age 18	228	228	233
London
London North
Age 16	n/a	n/a	n/a
Age 17	n/a	n/a	n/a
Age 18	n/a	n/a	n/a
London North East
Age 16	n/a	n/a	n/a
Age 17	n/a	n/a	n/a
Age 18	n/a	n/a	n/a

	Change in the number eligible to leave school	Change in the number of school leavers	Change in the number of school leavers in a full time job outside YTS
London South East
Age 16	n/a	n/a	n/a
Age 17	n/a	n/a	n/a
Age 18	n/a	n/a	n/a
London South and West
Age 16	n/a	n/a	n/a
Age 17	n/a	n/a	n/a
Age 18	n/a	n/a	n/a
South West
Avon
Age 16	-277	25	-88
Age 17	-87	135	182
Age 18	-216	1	55
Devon and Cornwall
Age 16	-947	211	-42
Age 17	64	366	13
Age 18	-334	162	130
Gloucester/Wiltshire
Age 16	-662	-962	-44
Age 17	161	61	139
Age 18	-404	-329	-182
Taunton/Somerset/Dorset
Age 16	-723	-552	-683
Age 17	-433	-300	-227
Age 18	-125	29	-22
West Midlands
Birmingham
Age 16	n/a	n/a	n/a
Age 17	n/a	n/a	n/a
Age 18	n/a	n/a	n/a
Coventry/Warwick
Age 16	-921	-4	4
Age 17	-9	29	21
Age 18	-26	25	-79
Dudley/Sandwell
Age 16	-159	101	86
Age 17	-88	-120	-59

	Change in the number eligible to leave school	Change in the number of school leavers	Change in the number of school leavers in a full time job outside YTS
Age 18	-54	31	60
The Marches
Age 16	-482	-219	-77
Age 17	446	202	124
Age 18	-70	121	122
Staffordshire
Age 16	-304	483	24
Age 17	-97	-62	-57
Age 18	-158	-436	-193
Wolverhampton
Age 16	-59	1,097	231
Age 17	16	n/a	n/a
Age 18	-120	n/a	n/a
East Midlands and Eastern
Derby
Age 16	-611	-511	-18
Age 17	370	133	97
Age 18	-212	-2	-39
Leicestershire
Age 16	-636	-995	-713
Age 17	142	-204	-341
Age 18	366	-67	-81
Lincoln
Age 16	-192	-53	-249
Age 17	-148	-95	-30
Age 18	80	30	35
Nottingham
Age 16	-1,350	-494	-494
Age 17	51	969	537
Age 18	-349	n/a	n/a
Luton
Age 16	-112	472	579
Age 17	-240	144	-138
Age 18	-106	119	86
Ipswich
Age 16	-215	-38	-115
Age 17	62	168	110
Age 18	-185	-482	-3
Yorkshire and Humberside
Bradford, Calderdale, Kirklees
Age 16	138	-263	-152
Age 17	304	-98	-219
Age 18	401	288	176
Humberside
Age 16	-361	-98	-154
Age 17	91	-44	-88
Age 18	0	0	0
Leeds/North Yorkshire
Age 16	-726	29	-1,145
Age 17	-117	86	71
Age 18	-346	-171	11
Sheffleld/Rotherham
Age 16	-321	436	60
Age 17	31	100	-57
Age 18	-31	168	13
Wakefield/Barnsley/Doncaster
Age 16	-25	230	28
Age 17	-100	-32	-39

	Change in the number eligible to leave school	Change in the number of school leavers	Change in the number of school leavers in a full time job outside YTS
Age 18	83	113	-34
North West
Cheshire
Age 16	-39	60	-94
Age 17	-24	96	37
Age 18	-101	1	38
Cumbria
Age 16	-318	-299	-143
Age 17	-125	-45	20
Age 18	108	-25	14
Greater Manchester Central
Age 16	436	244	79
Age 17	-243	-61	-80
Age 18	-286	-137	-72
Greater Manchester East
Age 16	-92	424	-67
Age 17	-762	43	-4
Age 18	-104	-443	-413
Greater Manchester North
Age 16	-276	-193	228
Age 17	275	-37	-14
Age 18	58	32	121
Lancashire
Age 16	-688	-201	-434
Age 17	-61	172	140
Age 18	214	0	-20
Merseyside Inner
Age 16	-116	-383	95
Age 17	434	10	104
Age 18	26	-294	83
Merseyside Outer
Age 16	n.a.	n.a.	n.a.
Age 17	n.a.	n.a.	n.a.
Age 18	n.a.	n.a.	n.a.
Northern
Cleveland
Age 16	-642	-119	8
Age 17	101	-131	-17
Age 18	1,881	-195	-102
Durham
Age 16	-565	-649	-115
Age 17	-45	-4	-15
Age 18	-43	-18	-7
North Tyne
Age 16	-280	-21	-100
Age 17	81	-1	-31
Age 18	14	-9	-76
South Tyne
Age 16	-62	173	163
Age 17	594	-49	50
Age 18	728	132	129
Wales
Cardiff
Age 16	-698	-504	-255
Age 17	313	-50	-50
Age 18	4	-154	110
Gwent
Age 16	-480	-230	-37

Change in the number eligible to leave school		Change in the number of school leavers	Change in the number of school leavers in a full time job outside YTS
Age 17	82	151	-11
Age 18	28	20	24
Swansea
Age 16	-409	-157	-209
Age 17	-523	111	117
Age 18	-251	80	52
Wrexham
Age 16	-483	67	64
Age 17	-596	-243	-240
Age 18	-304	-46	-88
Scotland
Ayrshire, Dumfries and Galloway
Age 16	-994	-317	-462
Age 17	18	44	-106
Age 18	34	10	-35
Central and Fife
Age 16	-698	-170	-184
Age 17	-106	-105	-45
Age 18	-35	-61	-22
Glasgow City
Age 16	-783	-337	-206
Age 17	-102	93	34
Age 18	-19	84	43
Grampian and Tyneside
Age 16	91	645	-404
Age 17	2	7	-27
Age 18	-3	13	37
Highlands and Islands
Age 16	-22	-55	-168
Age 17	9	-12	-32
Age 18	-15	-20	-16
Lanarkshire
Age 16	188	361	-13
Age 17	-66	92	31
Age 18	-39	53	24
Lothian/Borders
Age 16	-903	-252	-156
Age 17	-136	18	38
Age 18	-32	14	37
Renfrew, Dumbarton and Argyll
Age 16	-1,022	-321	-88
Age 17	-213	-124	-92
Age 18	-68	-43	-44

Notes:

n/a = results are not available or are incomplete.

The figures are subject to error and should he treated as approximate.

asked the Paymaster General if he will give from the most recent survey of youth training scheme providers, the number and proportion of trainees who will spend (a) fewer than 13 weeks and (b) more than 13 weeks on off-the-job training; and hw these figures with those available at the end of 1985.

The survey of YTS providers conducted in January-February 1986 shows that 2 per cent. (5,300) of trainees received off-the-job training of less than 13 weeks; 98 per cent. (259,000) received off-the-job training for 13 weeks or longer.

Figures for 1985 are not available.

asked the Paymaster General what are the current numbers of vacant places on the youth training schemes; and how this figure compares with that for the end of 1985.

Manpower Services Commission records currently show some 327,900 YTS trainees in training at the end of February 1987 and 455,500 YTS contracted places. There are no exactly equivalent figures for earlier years. In December 1985 there were some 293,370 trainees in training and 384,700 places approved by area manpower boards; but not all approved places were subsequently contracted.

asked the Paymaster General if he will give for 1983–84, 1984–85, 1985–86, and the latest estimates on figures for 1986–87. the total sum expended on the youth training scheme and the total sum expended on grants made to managing agents broken down into the administration fee, the training allowance the trainee allowance and capital grants.

The information requested is shown in the table:

£ million
	1983–84 Outturn	1984–85 Outturn	1985–86 Outturn	1986–87 Forecast
Management Fee	33·8	33·1	35·9	52·0
Other Grants¹	334·8	713·5	765·6	770·2
Capital Grants²	1·2	4·6	3·3	2·1
Other Expenditure³	10·7	12·2	13·4	15·0
Total YTS⁴ Expenditure	380·5	763·4	818·2	839·3
¹ Separate information is not available for the contribution towards the cost of training and the trainee allowance. "Other Grants" also includes expenditure on excess travel and lodging allowances and vacated places.
² Capital grants funding ceased in August 1986.
³ "Other Expenditure" includes research and development, accredited centres and miscellaneous minor items.
⁴ Excludes MSC administration costs.

asked the Paymaster General if he will list the total expenditure in 1986–87 prices of the Manpower Services Commission in each year since 1974, together with the percentage change in real terms over each previous year.

The following table gives estimates of total expenditure by the Manpower Services Commission in each year since 1974 at 1986–87 prices.

Financial year	Total Manpower Services Commission expenditure at 1986–87 prices £ million	Percentage change over previous year
1974–75	392
1975–76	768	95·9
1976–77	1,063	38·4
1977–78	1,175	10·5
1978–79	1,247	6·1
1979–80	1,209	-3·0
1980–81	1,222	1·1
1981–82	1,421	16·3
1982–83	1,573	10·7
1983–84	2,023	28·6
1984–85	2,250	11·2
1985–86	2.444	8·6
1986–87 (forecast)	3,059	25·2

Notes:

(1) Includes Manpower Services Commission expenditure on behalf of the Department of Employment.

(2) Cash figures adjusted to 1986–87 price levels have been calculated by taking account of each year's general inflation as measured by the GDP deflator at market prices. It has been assumed that the average level of the GDP deflator in 1986–87 will be equal to the mid-1986–87 value.

Volume 114: debated on Wednesday 8 April 1987