To ask the Secretary of State for the Environment (1) what is his Department's latest forecast, based on the Serplan forecasts, for net inward migration to the south-east region, excluding London, in the last decade of the 20th century;(2) what has been the level of net inward migration to the south-east region, excluding London, in the periods 1957 to 1967, 1967 to 1977 and 1977 to 1987.
The available information is as follows:
Net inward migration into south-east England (excluding London): Estimates and projections1
| |||||||||
Thousands
| |||||||||
Estimates
| Projections
| ||||||||
1961–71
| 1971–76
| 1976–81
| 1981–86
| 1986–91
| 1991–96
| 1996–2001
| |||
| Total | 3
| +1602 | +2102 | +2152 | +176 | +149 | +138 | ||
| Annual average | 3
| +32 | +42 | +43 | +35 | +30 | +28 | ||
Source: Office of Population Censuses and Surveys: official estimates and projections.
1 Figures include international migration.
2 Figure rounded to nearest 5,000.
3 It is estimated that the corresponding figures for 1961 to 1971 are: (total) in excess of +900,000 and (annual average) in excess of +90,000.
In the years for which information is available net migration from London into the rest of the south-east more than accounted for the net migration into the area. Migration between the south-east excluding London and areas outside the south-east shows net outflows as follows:
Thousands (per annum)
| |||
1976–81
| 1981–86
| ||
| -14 | -5 | ||
Source: Office of Population Censuses and Surveys: official estimates and projections.