To ask the Secretary of State for Scotland if he will list for the 16 schemes in Scotland, identified by the National Audit Office as having a negative cost benefit analysis in its report of 27 October 1988 "Department of Transport, Scottish Development Department and Welsh Office: Road Planning" (a) location and name of each individual project, (b) length of road, (c) date of decision to build and date of completion, (d) capital cost, both estimated and outturn, (e) number of vehicles per day estimated, each way, (f) number of vehicles per day from recent census data, (g) the details of the negative economic appraisal or net present value and (h) in respect of the A74 only, estimated capital value cost and NPV for two-lane and three-lane motorway.
The information requested is given in the following two tables. Table 1 refers to the 16 schemes identified in the NAO report of 27 October 1988 as having a negative net present value. The originally predicted traffic flows for 1989 were based on the then current national growth projections. Actual traffic growth has generally been higher than predicted at that time.Table 2 gives the most recent budgetary estimates of costs and net present values for construction of the M 74 between Millbank and Gretna.
Scheme name
| Region
| Length kms
| Contract let date
| Completion date
| Cost £ million1
| NPV
| Originally predicted traffic flows for 1989 (annual average daily traffic)
| Actual traffic flows for 1989 (annual average daily traffic)
| ||
Estimated Outturn
| ||||||||||
A94 | Scotston-Candy | Grampian | 8·5 | April 1983 | July 1985 | 5·5 | 7·0 | -2·757 | 27,700 | 13,100 |
A94 | Laurencekirk Bypass | Grampian | 7·8 | February 1984 | May 1985 | 6·0 | 7·9 | -1,745 | 27,100 | 10,400 |
A92/A94 | Stonehaven Bypass | Grampian | 9·7 | December 1982 | November 1984 | 10·1 | 14·5 | -5,362 | 27,700 | 13,100 |
A82 | Eos Eonan-Derrydarroch Bridges | Central | 2·6 | April 1981 | December 1982 | 1·5 | 2·1 | -0·813 | 1,900 | 2,300 |
A82 | Carnoch-Craigrannoch I | Highland | 2·9 | December 1981 | October 1983 | 1·6 | 1·7 | -0·772 | 2,500 | 2,200 |
A82 | Carnoch-Craigrannoch II | Highland | 1·2 | March 1983 | October 1984 | 1·4 | 1·7 | -1·071 | 2,500 | 2,200 |
A835 | Silverbridge-Gorstan | Highland | 3·2 | May 1981 | December 1982 | 2·4 | 2·9 | -0·527 | 800 | 1,200 |
A9 | Auchterarder/Aberuthven Bypass | Tayside | 8·2 | January 1982 | October 1983 | 5·9 | 7·5 | -1·648 | 10,000 | 14,100 |
A9 | Dalreoch-Burnside | Tayside | 6·3 | June 1984 | October 1986 | 8·4 | 9·4 | -0·683 | 9,700 | 14,300 |
A929 | Tealing-Tarbrax | Tayside | 5·6 | November 1983 | July 1985 | 6·0 | 6·4 | -0·720 | 29,800 | 13,300 |
A972 | Kingsway III | Tayside | 2·5 | August 1984 | June 1986 | 2·6 | 3·0 | -0·203 | 211,800 | 18,200 |
A94 | Balnabreich-St. Ann's | Tayside | 2·8 | May 1981 | July 1982 | 1·9 | 2·1 | -0·927 | 27,400 | 12,800 |
1 Tender letting stage estimate of total scheme cost. | ||||||||||
2 Includes an estimate for traffic re-routed as the result of the detrunking of the A92 Dundee-Stonehaven (coastal route). |
Table 2
| ||
Motorway design standard
| Cost £m (September 1990)
| NPV (mid-1988 prices)
|
Dual 3 lane | 412 | 127 |
Dual 2 lane | 350 | 40 |
Note: All costs exclude VAT