The latest forecast estimates of the number of incapacity benefit or severe disablement allowance claimants, consistent with the best available data, are shown up to 2019-20 in the following table. These forecasts do not take into account any of the proposed policy changes in the recent papers, “A new deal for welfare: Empowering people to work”, or “Security in retirement: towards a new pensions system”.
Thousand Number 2005-06 2,710 2006-07 2,650 2007-08 2,570 2008-09 2,490 2009-10 2,430 2010-11 2,400 2011-12 2,390 2012-13 2,370 2013-14 2,360 2014-15 2,350 2015-16 2,360 2016-17 2,380 2017-18 2,410 2018-19 2,440 2019-20 2,470 Notes: 1. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10,000. 2. Figures are forecasts, therefore subject to future revisions. 3. Figures include the impact of the one-third rollout of Pathways to Work and estimates of the impact of equalisation of state pension age on the IB caseload.