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Household Projections

Volume 451: debated on Wednesday 8 November 2006

To ask the Secretary of State for Communities and Local Government how many additional households were attributable to migration in (a) 2003 and (b) 2004; what estimate the Government had previously made of additional households attributable to migration in these years for the purpose of household projections; and what plans she has to adjust future household projections to 2026 to take account of the actual level of migration in 2003 and 2004. (94217)

DCLG household projections which are used to estimate future housing requirements are based on the Office for National Statistics (ONS) population projections. The assumptions about international migration in these are then translated into the DCLG household projections. The migration from the eight accession countries is not accounted for separately.

The DCLG 2003 based household projections show a projected increase in households in England between 2003 and 2006 of 580,000 of which 105,000 (18 per cent.) is attributable to net migration.

The 2003 based household projections were based on the ONS 2003 based population projections that assumed a long-term net migration into the UK of 130,000 per year. ONS has subsequently released 2004 based population projections that involve an assumed long-term figure of 145,000 per year. This latest projection also includes higher short-term figures in order to take account of A8. The Department for Communities and Local Government plans to produce updated household projections that take account of the 2004 based population projections.