Skip to main content

Snow and Ice

Volume 456: debated on Friday 2 February 2007

To ask the Secretary of State for Defence what estimate the Meteorological Office has made of the number of days of snow fall in (a) London, (b) Edinburgh, (c) Bristol and (d) Inverness in (i) 2010, (ii) 2020, (iii) 2030 and (iv) 2050. (108964)

Climate models are not yet sufficiently finely resolved to make predictions of the number of days of snowfall for individual towns or cities.

During the 21st century, a trend towards reduced snowfall is expected over the UK due to climate change. The predicted changes vary with location, and some parts of the UK could experience periods of increased snowfall, due to the influence of natural climate variability. However, by 2050 a reduction in snowfall can be predicted with some confidence.

With future investment in supercomputing capacity the Met Office expects to increase the resolution of its climate models and provide more local scale predictions with reduced uncertainty.