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Jobcentre Plus

Volume 458: debated on Monday 12 March 2007

To ask the Secretary of State for Work and Pensions pursuant to answer of 8 November 2006, Official Report, column 1630W, on Jobcentre Plus, what methodology the Department used to generate the estimates. (124090)

Forecasts of incapacity benefits are constructed by extending historic patterns in benefit on-flows and off-flows into the future. Events such as entering the benefit, moving between rates, gaining additional entitlements and leaving the benefit are simulated on the basis past trends examined by age and gender. Assumptions covering these events give rise to a predicted future caseload.