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Population: Health Authorities

Volume 458: debated on Wednesday 14 March 2007

To ask the Chancellor of the Exchequer (1) what proportion of each strategic health authority’s resident population is aged (a) over state pension age, (b) 65 or over, (c) 75 or over, (d) 85 or over, (e) 95 or over and (f) 100 or over; (126551)

(2) what estimate he has made of the population size of each strategic health authority in (a) 2010, (b) 2020 and (c) 2030; how many and what proportion of the projected population he estimates will be aged (i) over state pension age, (ii) 65 or over, (iii) 75 or over, (iv) 85 or over, (v) 95 or over and (vi) 100 or over in each year.

The information requested falls within the responsibility of the National Statistician, who has been asked to reply.

Letter from Karen Dunnell, dated 14 March 2007:

As National Statistician, I have been asked to reply to your recent Parliamentary questions about asking (1) the current proportion of each strategic health authority's resident population; and (2) the projected population size, and proportion of the population, of each strategic health authority in 2010, 2020 and 2030, aged (a) over state pension age (b) 65 or over, (c) 75 or over, (d) 85 or over, (e) 95 or over, (f) 100 or over. (126551 and 126609)

Table 1 shows the proportion of each strategic health authority's resident population aged over state pension age, 65 or over, 75 or over, 85 or over and 90 or over. These data are calculated from the estimates of the population at mid-2005 and are the latest available. They are not available for the age groups 95 or over and 100 or over.

Tables 2a, 2b and 2c show the projected population size of each strategic health authority, as well as. the projected population size and the projected proportion of the population that are aged over state pension age, 65 or over, 75 or over and 85 or over, for the years 2010, 2020 and 2029 respectively. These data are from the sub-national population projections based on the mid-2004 population estimates. These projections only run for 25 years and are therefore only available to 2029. They are not available for the age groups 95 or over and 100 or over.

All data are shown for the strategic health authorities on the 2006 boundaries.

Table 1: Proportion of 2005 mid-year estimate population by strategic health authority1 for specific age groups

Percentage

SHA

over state pension age

65+

75+

85+

90+

North East SHA

19.5

16.8

7.7

1.8

0.6

North West SHA

18.8

16.1

7.5

1.9

0.7

Yorkshire and the Humber SHA

18.9

16.2

7.7

1.9

0.7

East Midlands SHA

19.1

16.3

7.8

1.9

0.7

West Midlands SHA

19.0

16.2

7.7

1.9

0.7

East SHA

19.6

16.8

8.1

2.1

0.8

London SHA

13.8

11.8

5.7

1.5

0.6

South East Coast SHA

20.7

17.9

9.0

2.5

0.9

South Central SHA

17.7

15.1

7.3

1.9

0.7

South West SHA

21.8

18.8

9.4

2.5

0.9

1 Strategic health authorities based on 2006 boundaries.

Source:

Office for National Statistics

Table 2a: Projected population and proportions of population in 2010 by strategic health authority1 for specific age groups

2010

Total population

Over state pension age

65+

75+

85+

Thousand

Thousand

Percentage

Thousand

Percentage

Thousand

Percentage

Thousand

Percentage

North East SHA

2,566

532

20.8

448

17.5

210

8.2

55

2.1

North West SHA

6,945

1,387

20.0

1,165

16.8

538

7.7

145

2.1

Yorkshire and the Humber SHA

5,217

1,037

19.9

873

16.7

409

7.8

114

2.2

East Midlands SHA

4,433

920

20.8

773

17.4

358

8.1

100

2.3

West Midlands SHA

5,436

1,105

20.3

936

17.2

435

8.0

121

2.2

East SHA

5,698

1,207

21.2

1,017

17.8

487

8.5

140

2.4

London SHA

7,818

1,057

13.5

883

11.3

426

5.4

123

1.6

South East Coast SHA

4,333

947

21.9

802

18.5

396

9.1

120

2.8

South Central SHA

4,025

770

19.1

648

16.1

311

7.7

91

2.3

South West SHA

5,242

1,227

23.4

1,040

19.8

506

9.7

152

2.9

1 Strategic health authorities based on 2006 boundaries.

Source:

Office for National Statistics

Table 2b: Projected population and proportions of population in 2020 by strategic health authority1 for specific age groups

2020

Total population

Over state pension age

65+

75+

85+

Thousand

Thousand

Percentage

Thousand

Percentage

Thousand

Percentage

Thousand

Percentage

North East SHA

2,607

627

24.0

540

20.7

249

9.5

72

2.8

North West SHA

7,163

1,620

22.6

1,402

19.6

653

9.1

183

2.6

Yorkshire and the Humber SHA

5,507

1,232

22.4

1,067

19.4

500

9.1

145

2.6

East Midlands SHA

4,679

1,127

24.1

982

21.0

461

9.9

132

2.8

West Midlands SHA

5,612

1,283

22.9

1,120

20.0

540

9.6

156

2.8

East SHA

6,034

1,460

24.2

1,278

21.2

615

10.2

185

3.1

London SHA

8,386

1,172

14.0

989

11.8

462

5.5

142

1.7

South East Coast SHA

4,587

1,113

24.3

974

21.2

477

10.4

149

3.3

South Central SHA

4,192

917

21.9

799

19.1

387

9.2

119

2.8

South West SHA

5,577

1,487

26.7

1,303

23.4

634

11.4

193

3.5

1 Strategic health authorities based on 2006 boundaries.

Source:

Office for National Statistics

Table 2c: Projected population and proportions of population in 2029 by strategic health authority1 for specific age groups

2029

Total population

Over state pension age

65+

75+

85+

Thousand

Thousand

Percentage

Thousand

Percentage

Thousand

Percentage

Thousand

Percentage

North East SHA

2,638

725

27.5

632

24.0

315

11.9

93

3.5

North West SHA

7,331

1,881

25.7

1,632

22.3

822

11.2

246

3.4

Yorkshire and the Humber SHA

5,738

1,450

25.3

1,261

22.0

638

11.1

194

3.4

East Midlands SHA

4,874

1,347

27.6

1,174

24.1

605

12.4

185

3.8

West Midlands SHA

5,749

1 ,478

25.7

1,288

22.4

670

11.7

212

3.7

East SHA

6,308

1,732

27.5

1,517

24.0

799

12.7

253

4.0

London SHA

8,807

1,386

15.7

1,167

13.2

549

6.2

171

1.9

South East Coast SHA

4,814

1,315

27.3

1,149

23.9

605

12.6

196

4.1

South Central SHA

4,336

1,073

24.8

939

21.6

494

11.4

160

3.7

South West SHA

5,862

1,766

30.1

1,548

26.4

824

14.0

264

4.5

1 Strategic health authorities based on 2006 boundaries.

Source:

Office for National Statistics