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Aviation

Volume 474: debated on Wednesday 2 April 2008

To ask the Secretary of State for Transport how many internal flights there were in each of the last five years; and how many there are forecast to be in (a) 2008-09, (b) 2009-10 and (c) 2010-11. (195923)

The number of internal flights (air transport movements, excluding double counting) in the UK in each of the last five years is as follows:

Flights (£000)

2003

376

2004

405

2005

429

2006

427

2007

417

Source:

Civil Aviation Authority

The coverage of air transport movements (ATMs) in the DfT aviation forecasting model, along with the methodology and results, is set out in ‘UK Air Passenger Demand and CO2 Forecasts’ (2007), available at:

http://www.dft.gov/uk/pgr/aviation/environmentalissues/ukairdemandandco2forecasts/

This differs from the coverage of the figures reported above. The differences arise from the range of airports and domestic charter operations covered, and the categorisation of oil rig and Channel Isles traffic. The difference amounts to around an extra 45,000 ATMs per annum in 2005.

Owing to the tolerance with which the iterative forecasting model works, forecast results are rounded and presented at no less than five-yearly intervals. The central forecast is for annual domestic air transport movements to grow from 765,000 in 2005 to 840,000 in 2010. This equates to growth in annual domestic flights from 385,000 in 2005 to 420,000 in 2010.