(2) what estimate he has made of the number and proportion of pensioners who will have marginal deduction rates of (a) zero to 10 per cent., (b) 11 to 20 per cent., (c) 21 to 30 per cent., (d) 31 to 40 per cent., (e) 41 to 50 per cent., (f) 51 to 60 per cent., (g) 61 to 70 per cent., (h) 71 to 80 per cent., (i) 81 to 90 per cent. and (j) 91 to 100 per cent. in each year until 2050.
The information is not available in the format requested.
Measures to improve the coverage and generosity of the state pension together with reform of the savings credit are projected to reduce the proportion of pensioner households entitled to income related benefits over the long term.
Updated projections of the proportion of pensioner households eligible to income related benefits have been placed in the Library.
(2) how many people he estimates will flow on to (a) the support channel and (b) the work channel of the employment and support allowance in each of the next five years;
(3) how many people he estimates will flow on to the work channel of the employment and support allowance and be claiming the benefit by (a) the income channel and (b) the contribution channel in the next five years;
(4) how many people he expects will flow onto the support channel of the employment and support allowance and be claiming the benefit by (a) the income channel and (b) the contribution channel.
[holding answers 10 June and 11 June 2008]: We expect that 10 per cent. of new employment and support allowance customers will flow into the support group, and that 90 per cent of new employment and support allowance customers will flow into the work related activity group.
Information is available up to the end of the Government's spending plan period, to 2010-11. The information is summarised in the following table.
Thousand 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 Employment and support allowance 280 580 600 Of which: Income-based only 140 290 300 Contributory only 130 265 275 Both 10 25 25 Work related activity group 250 520 540 Of which: Income-based only 125 260 270 Contributory only 115 240 250 Both 10 25 25 Support group 30 60 60 Of which: Income-based only 15 30 30 Contributory only 15 25 30 Both Negligible 5 5 Notes: 1. Figures for 2008-09 relate to six months only; ESA will be introduced in October 2008. 2. Figures are rounded to the nearest five thousand. Components may not sum to totals due to rounding. 3. Figures are consistent with benefit expenditure tables available on the DWP website through the following link: http://www.dwp.gov.uk/asd/asd4/expenditure.asp