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Unemployment: Milton Keynes

Volume 481: debated on Tuesday 21 October 2008

To ask the Chancellor of the Duchy of Lancaster what the level of unemployment was in Milton Keynes in each month since 1997. (228428)

[holding answer 20 October 2008]: The information requested falls within the responsibility of the UK Statistics Authority. I have asked the Authority to reply.

Letter from Karen Dunnell, dated October 2008:

As National Statistician, I have been asked to reply to your Parliamentary Question asking what the level of unemployment was in Milton Keynes from 1997 to the latest date for which figures are available, broken down by month. (228428)

The Office for National Statistics compiles unemployment statistics for local areas using model based estimates following the International Labour Organisation (ILO) definition.

Model based estimates of unemployment for Milton Keynes are only available for annual periods from March 1997 to February 2004, and for rolling four quarter periods from January 2004. The latest estimates are for the 12 month period ending December 2007.

Table 1, attached, shows model based estimates of the number of people aged 16 and over who were unemployed and resident in Milton Keynes from 1997 to 2007. As these estimates are for a subset of the population in small geographical areas, they are based on small sample sizes, and are therefore subject to large margins of uncertainty.

Table 2 attached shows the number of persons claiming Jobseeker’s Allowance resident in Milton Keynes for each month since 1997.

These figures along with a wide range of other labour market data for parliamentary constituencies and local authorities are also published on the Office for National Statistics’ Nomis® website: www.nomisweb.co.uk

Table 1: Number of unemployed persons1 resident in Milton Keynes

12 months ending:

Number (Thousand)

February 1997

5

February 1998

6

February 1999

5

February 2000

4

February 2001

4

February 2002

4

February 2003

6

February 2004

6

December 2004

5

March 2005

5

June 2005

5

September 2005

5

December 2005

5

March 2006

6

June 2006

7

September 2006

7

December 2006

7

March 2007

6

June 2007

6

September 2007

5

December 20072

**6

1 Levels of unemployment are provided for persons aged 16 and over. The figures presented are weighted to population estimates published in 2007.

2 Coefficients of Variation have been calculated for the latest period as an indication of the quality of the estimates. See Guide to Quality as follows:

Guide to Quality:

The Coefficient of Variation (CV) indicates the quality of an estimate, the smaller the CV value the higher the quality. The true value is likely to lie within +/- twice the CV—for example, for an estimate of 200 with a CV of 5 per cent. we would expect the population total to be within the range 180-220.

Key:

Coefficient of Statistical Robustness Variation (CV) (percentage)

* 0 < CV < 5 Estimates are considered precise.

** 5 < CV < 10 Estimates are considered reasonably precise.

*** 10 < CV < 20 Estimates are considered acceptable.

**** CV > 20 Estimates are considered too unreliable for practical purposes.

Source:

Model Based Estimates.

Table 2: Number of persons claiming jobseekers allowance resident in Milton Keynes

Number

1997

January

4,440

February

4,441

March

4,157

April

3,979

May

3,766

June

3,470

July

3,540

August

3,575

September

3,446

October

3,025

November

2,734

December

2,745

1998

January

2,918

February

2,997

March

2,843

April

2,811

May

2,676

June

2,516

July

2,536

August

2,536

September

2,463

October

2,301

November

2,223

December

2,266

1999

January

2,573

February

2,686

March

2,612

April

2,524

May

2,477

June

2,294

July

2,303

August

2,315

September

2,279

October

2,109

November

2,074

December

2,050

2000

January

2,429

February

2,446

March

2,370

April

2,196

May

2,153

June

2,062

July

2,052

August

2,042

September

1,959

October

1,829

November

1,709

December

1,769

2001

January

1,956

February

2,050

March

2,042

April

2,014

May

1,954

June

1,921

July

1,995

August

2,075

September

1,925

October

1,890

November

1,880

December

2,007

2002

January

2,231

February

2,420

March

2,444

April

2,404

May

2,355

June

2,345

July

2,402

August

2,429

September

2,398

October

2,310

November

2,159

December

2,150

2003

January

2,428

February

2,696

March

2,815

April

2,790

May

2,656

June

2,667

July

2,685

August

2,707

September

2,792

October

2,663

November

2,645

December

2,586

2004

January

2,798

February

2,971

March

3,000

April

2,889

May

2,705

June

2,566

July

2,508

August

2,400

September

2,364

October

2,336

November

2,266

December

2,282

2005

January

2,506

February

2,657

March

2,689

April

2,742

May

2,776

June

2,803

July

2,869

August

2,704

September

2,785

October

2,625

November

2,524

December

2,510

2006

January

2,776

February

3,056

March

3,513

April

3,376

May

3,296

June

3,254

July

3,352

August

3,273

September

3,262

October

3,150

November

3,041

December

2,965

2007

January

3,224

February

3,343

March

3,291

April

3,160

May

3,084

June

3,053

July

3,056

August

3,048

September

2,899

October

2,724

November

2,730

December

2,716

2008

January

2,946

February

3,185

March

3,260

April

3,368

May

3,278

June

3,452

July

3,553

August

3,923

September

3,916

Source:

Jobcentre Plus Administrative System.