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Volume 485: debated on Tuesday 16 December 2008

To ask the Chancellor of the Exchequer what modelling he has undertaken on predicted levels of unemployment in (a) 2008-09, (b) 2009-10 and (c) 2010-11 for formulation of his Department's policy. (244469)

For the purposes of the public finance projections the Treasury uses an assumption for the level of the UK claimant count in each year of the forecast horizon. This assumption is based on an average of independent external forecasts and audited by the National Audit Office.

For pre-Budget report 2008, details of the assumed level of claimant count unemployment can be found in box B1, in Annex B on the public finances, in the pre-Budget report 2008 document (Cm 7484).