Forecasts of surface access demand at Heathrow are set out in BAA's ‘Surface Access Report’, published alongside the ‘Adding Capacity at Heathrow Airport’ consultation document. This is available at the following link:
http://www.dft.gov.uk/consultations/closed/heathrowconsultation/technicalreports/surfaceaccess.pdf
The figure of 122 million passengers assumes around 702,000 flights a year in 2030, whereas we are initially supporting a maximum of 605,000 (an additional 125,000 a year). The additional number of passengers accessing the airport by road is therefore expected to be around 14 million, around half the number previously assumed.
Forecasts of surface access demand at Heathrow are set out in BAA’s ‘Surface Access Report’, published alongside the 2007 ‘Adding Capacity at Heathrow Airport’ consultation document. This is available on the Department’s website at the following link:
http://wvwv.dft.gov.uk/consultations/closed/heathrowconsultation/technicalreports/surfaceaccess.pdf
Table 36 reproduced below shows the daily traffic composition for the main road corridors (A4, M4 and M25) with a third runway in 2020 and 605,000 air transport movements a year, which is the limit we are supporting initially.
Percentage Air quality hotspot Road Map ref Car: air passengers Cars: business Cars: non business Light goods vehicles Heavy goods vehicles Buses Annual average daily traffic A4 corridor Northern perimeter road (E of Spur) 1 4 14 32 7 3 40 5,900 A4 (E of Spur) 2 1 7 73 10 6 2 31,800 M4 corridor A312 S of M4 3 6 5 59 22 8 1 60,700 M4 Spur 4 78 2 15 2 2 2 99,800 M4 J4b-5 5 8 12 63 8 8 0 165,300 M4 J4-4b 6 36 6 45 6 8 0 164,400 M4 J3-4 7 27 7 51 8 8 0 147,800 M4 J 2-3 8 35 7 46 8 5 1 103,800 M25 corridor M25 J13-14 9 12 12 61 8 7 0 224,600 M25 J14-T5 Spur 10 8 14 62 8 8 0 174,100 M25 T5 Spur-J15 11 21 12 53 7 7 0 236,800 M25 J15-16 12 21 12 51 7 9 0 210,400