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Primary Education: Admissions

Volume 488: debated on Tuesday 24 February 2009

To ask the Secretary of State for Children, Schools and Families how many children entered primary schools in each local education authority (LEA) in (a) 2000 and (b) 2005; what estimate he has made of the number of children who will enter primary schools in each LEA in (i) 2010, (ii) 2013, (iii) 2015, (iv) 2017 and (v) 2020; and what estimate he has made of the (A) number and (B) cost of primary school places required in each LEA in each of those years compared with 2009 requirements. (255716)

A table showing the number of admissions to primary schools in 2000/01 and 2005/06 in each local authority area has been placed in the Libraries.

Pupil projections by individual age are available at national level. At a local authority level, the Department relies upon authorities to prepare their own pupil projections.

National pupil projections are available for each year to 2017. There is an increasing degree of uncertainty in projecting over longer time periods, influenced mainly by the underlying population trends. The following table shows the actual number of pupils in primary schools from 2003 to 2008, and projected figures for 2009 to 2017. Figures for pupils aged five, and rising fives, are separately shown (this is the nearest available information for new admissions to primary schools).

Local authority maintained primary schools: full-time equivalent number of pupils (1,000s)1. Position in January each year: 2003 to 2008 (actual), 2009 to 2011 (projection). England

Pupils aged

Rising 5s2

5-years-old

Actual3

2003

186

580

2004

186

565

2005

181

559

2006

178

544

2007

176

534

2008

181

530

Projection

2009

189

552

2010

196

569

2011

196

580

2012

209

594

2013

209

620

2014

212

622

2015

214

632

2016

216

639

2017

217

645

1 Includes dually registered pupils.

2 Pupils who turn 5 between 1 September and 31 December of the relevant academic year.

3Source:

School Census

The Office for National Statistics (ONS) prepares population projections at a local level and advises that these are robust by quinary age band. A table showing the projected change in population aged five to 10 (primary ages) by local authority area has been placed in the Libraries.

Local authorities are responsible for ensuring sufficient school places are available for their area. The Department provides basic need capital funding to enable authorities to expand capacity where a growth in pupil numbers is anticipated.

Estimates of the cost of primary schools places are not available for the years in question. We can provide the amount of funds delegated to maintained primary schools (individual schools budget plus revenue grants) from the most recent Section 52 data returns, relating to 2008/09, for each local authority. This information has been placed in the Libraries.