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Unemployment

Volume 488: debated on Wednesday 25 February 2009

To ask the Chancellor of the Duchy of Lancaster pursuant to the answer of 12 January 2009, Official Report, columns 500-01W, on the unemployed, how many people aged 16 to 24 years were unemployed in each region (a) in each year since 1997 and (b) in each of the last eight quarters. (256672)

[holding answer 12 February 2009]: The information requested falls within the responsibility of the UK Statistics Authority. I have asked the authority to reply.

Letter from Karen Dunnell, dated February 2009:

As National Statistician, I have been asked to reply to your Parliamentary Question asking pursuant to the answer of 12 January 2009, Official Report, columns 500-1W, on unemployed, how many people aged 16 to 24 years were unemployed in each region (a) each year since 1997 and (b) in each of the last eight quarters. (256672)

The requested information is shown in the attached table. Estimates for October-December 2008 have also been included as these have become available since the previous answer was provided.

The estimates are derived from the Labour Force Survey. As with any sample survey, estimates from the LFS are subject to a margin of uncertainty.

The figures in the table are derived from the LFS microdata which are weighted using the official population estimates published in autumn 2007. Consequently the estimates from Q3 2006 are not entirely consistent with the figures published in the monthly Labour Market Statistics First Release, which are weighted using more up-to- date population estimates.

Unemployed people aged 16-24, by region, Quarter 3 1997 to 2006; all calendar quarters from quarter 4 2006 to quarter 4 2008, United Kingdom, not seasonally adjusted

Thousand

North East

North West

Yorkshire and Humberside

East Midlands

West Midlands

Eastern

London

1997

Q3

39

93

60

42

74

54

118

1998

Q3

34

87

67

44

61

46

105

1999

Q3

44

84

56

53

65

46

85

2000

Q3

45

74

61

44

63

35

99

2001

Q3

29

74

49

40

59

54

99

2002

Q3

28

69

63

40

73

47

97

2003

Q3

39

80

52

43

74

46

105

2004

Q3

36

76

60

40

80

48

118

2005

Q3

44

78

64

42

63

49

117

2006

Q3

42

96

81

62

86

59

122

2006

Q4

29

81

71

59

72

49

99

2007

Q1

33

78

67

61

68

51

93

2007

Q2

37

78

60

49

72

51

96

2007

Q3

40

106

68

66

85

72

104

2007

Q4

29

87

64

51

54

48

100

2008

Q1

30

82

52

56

64

54

95

2008

Q2

36

85

72

57

64

58

96

2008

Q3

50

120

95

69

82

63

116

2008

Q41

***42

**112

***72

***50

**80

***63

**110

Thousand

South East

South West

Wales

Scotland

Northern Ireland

Total

1997

Q3

74

40

38

69

23

724

1998

Q3

74

47

43

72

19

698

1999

Q3

64

37

38

63

2

651

2000

Q3

58

38

39

64

2

631

2001

Q3

64

39

32

69

20

628

2002

Q3

74

41

30

72

17

649

2003

Q3

75

36

34

70

2

669

2004

Q3

68

40

36

62

2

681

2005

Q3

81

46

37

66

2

701

2006

Q3

88

49

38

60

2

797

2006

Q4

72

45

39

50

2

676

2007

Q1

73

51

33

51

2

669

2007

Q2

75

39

42

62

2

675

2007

Q3

98

53

38

60

2

806

2007

Q4

92

34

30

57

2

663

2008

Q1

70

40

28

56

2

642

2008

Q2

76

35

29

54

2

676

2008

Q3

96

52

49

55

2

864

2008

Q41

**92

***48

***49

***55

****2

*793

1Coefficients of Variation have been calculated for the latest period as an indication of the quality of the estimates, as described below:

2 Sample size too small for reliable estimate.

Guide to Quality:

The Coefficient of Variation (CV) indicates the quality of an estimate, the smaller the CV value the higher the quality. The true value is likely to lie within +/- twice the CV - for example, for an estimate of 200 with a CV of 5 per cent. we would expect the population total to be within the range 180-220.

Key Coefficient of Variation (CV) (%) Statistical robustness

* 0 = CV [le] 5 Estimates are considered precise.

** 5 = CV [le] 10 Estimates are considered reasonably precise.

*** 10 = CV [le] 20 Estimates are considered acceptable.

**** CV = 20 Estimates are considered too unreliable for practical purposes.

Note:

It should be noted that the estimates exclude people in most types of communal establishment (e.g. hotels, boarding houses, hostels, mobile home sites etc).