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Employment Level

Volume 493: debated on Wednesday 3 June 2009

To ask the Chancellor of the Duchy of Lancaster (1) how many people were unemployed in (a) Jarrow constituency, (b) South Tyneside, (c) the North East and (d) the UK in each year since 2007; (277459)

(2) how many people were in employment in (a) Jarrow constituency, (b) South Tyneside, (c) the North East and (d) the UK in each year since 2007;

(3) what the average unemployment rate of the working age population in (a) Jarrow constituency, (b) South Tyneside, (c) the North East and (d) the UK was in each year since 2007;

(4) how many (a) males, (b) females and (c) single parents were (i) in employment and (ii) unemployed in (A) Jarrow constituency, (B) South Tyneside, (C) the North East and (D) the UK in each year since 1997.

The information requested falls within the responsibility of the UK Statistics Authority. I have asked the Authority to reply.

Letter from Karen Dunnell, dated May 2009:

As National Statistician, I have been asked to reply to your Parliamentary Questions asking how many people were unemployed in (a) Jarrow constituency, (b) South Tyneside, (c) the North East and (d) the UK in each year since 2007; how many people were in employment in (a) Jarrow constituency, (b) South Tyneside, (c) the North East and (d) the UK in each year since 2007; what the average unemployment rate of the working age population in (a) Jarrow constituency, (b) South Tyneside, (c) the North East and (d) the UK has been in each year since 2007; and how many (a) males, (b) females and (c) single parents were in (i) in employment and (ii) unemployed in (a) Jarrow constituency, (b) South Tyneside, (c) the North East and (d) the UK has been in each year since 1997. (277459,277460,277461 & 277462).

The Office for National Statistics (ONS) compiles labour market statistics for local areas from the Annual Population Survey (APS) and its predecessor the annual Labour Force Survey (LFS). Estimates of total unemployment for unitary and local authorities are produced from a statistical model, following International Labour Organisation (ILO) definitions.

Table 1 shows the number of people aged 16+, resident in (a) Jarrow constituency, (b) South Tyneside, (c) the North East and (d) the UK, who were unemployed in each year since 2007. The estimates for UK and the North East have been compiled from the APS to be consistent with those for Jarrow constituency, and will therefore differ from the unemployment figures published in the Labour Market First Release. Estimates for South Tyneside are compiled from model based estimates.

Table 2 shows the number of people aged 16+, resident in the requested geographies who were employed in each year since 2007. The estimates for UK and the North East have been compiled from the APS to be consistent with those for Jarrow constituency and South Tyneside and will therefore differ from the unemployment figures published in the Labour Market First Release.

Table 3 shows the average unemployment rate, for persons of working age (males aged 16 to 64 and females aged 16 to 59), resident in the requested geographies, who were unemployed in each year since 2007. Unemployment rates published by ONS have been compiled from the APS and are based on the percentage of the economically active population. Estimates for South Tyneside are compiled from Model based estimates.

Table 4 shows the number of lone parents below state pension age with dependent children in employment and unemployed in the requested geographies for the calendar years 2004 to 2007. Estimates are derived from the APS household datasets and are only available for January to December for the years 2004 to 2007. Estimates for 2008 will be available from summer 2009.

Table 5 shows the number of people aged 16+, males and females resident in the requested geographies who were employed in each year since 2007. The estimates for UK and the North East have also been compiled from the APS to be consistent with those for Jarrow constituency and South Tyneside and will therefore differ from the unemployment figures published in the Labour Market First Release National and local area estimates for many labour market statistics, including employment and unemployment are available from the NOMIS website at: http://www.nomisweb.co.uk.

Table 1: Number of persons unemployed1 resident in Jarrow constituency, South Tyneside, the North East and the UK in each year since 2007

Thousand

12 months ending:

Jarrow

South Tyneside2

North East

UK

September 2007

3

6

80

1,603

September 20083

****—

***6

*86

*1,643

— = Data is unreliable for practical purposes.

1 Levels of unemployment are provided for persons aged 16 and over. The figures presented are weighted to population estimates published in 2007.

2 Model Based Estimates.

3 Coefficients of Variation have been calculated for the latest period as an indication of the quality of the estimates. See Guide to Quality as follows.

Guide to Quality:

The Coefficient of Variation (CV) indicates the quality of an estimate, the smaller the CV value the higher the quality. The true value is likely to lie within +/- twice the CV—for example, for an estimate of 200 with a CV of 5 per cent. we would expect the population total to be within the range 180-220.

Key Coefficient of Variation (CV) (%) Statistical Robustness

* 0 = CV<5 Estimates are considered precise

** 5 = CV <10 Estimates are considered reasonably precise

*** 10 = CV <20 Estimates are considered acceptable

**** CV 20 Estimates are considered too unreliable for practical purposes

Source:

Annual Population Survey and Model Based Estimates

Table 2: Number of persons employed1 resident in Jarrow constituency, South Tyneside, the North East and the UK in each year since 2007

Thousand

12 months ending:

Jarrow

South Tyneside

North East

UK

September 2007

37

64

1,162

29,042

September 20082

**36

*66

*1,161

*29,350

1 Levels of employment are provided for persons aged 16 and over. The figures presented are weighted to population estimates published in 2007.

2 Coefficients of Variation have been calculated for the latest period as an indication of the quality of the estimates. See Guide to Quality as follows.

Guide to Quality:

The Coefficient of Variation (CV) indicates the quality of an estimate, the smaller the CV value the higher the quality. The true value is likely to lie within +/- twice the CV—for example, for an estimate of 200 with a CV of 5 per cent. we would expect the population total to be within the range 180-220.

Key Statistical Robustness

* Estimates are considered precise.

** Estimates are considered reasonably precise.

*** Estimates are considered acceptable.

**** Estimates are considered too unreliable for practical purposes.

Source:

Annual Population Survey

Table 3: Average unemployment rates1 for people of working age resident in Jarrow constituency, South Tyneside, the North East and the UK in each year since 2007

Percentage

12 months ending:

Jarrow

South Tyneside2

North East

UK

September 2007

6.5

8.2

6.5

5.4

September 2008

6.3

7.7

7.0

5.5

1 Number of unemployed people of working age as a percentage of the economically active population. Working age is defined as being: males aged 16 to 64 and females aged 16 to 59.

2 Model based estimates.

Source:

Annual Population Survey and Model Based Estimates

Table 4: Number of lone parents1 with dependent children2 in employment and unemployed in selected areas of UK, 2004 to 2007; January to December of each year

Thousand

Jarrow

South Tyneside

North East

UK

In employment

2004

3

47

976

2005

3

52

1,016

2006

2

49

1,025

20073

****—

***3

**45

*1,031

Unemployed

2004

6

98

2005

4

93

2006

6

115

20073

****—

****—

***6

*111

— = Data is unreliable for practical purposes.

1 Men aged 16 to 64 and women aged 16 to 59.

2 Dependent children are children aged under 16 and those 16 to 18 who are never-married and in full-time education.

3 Coefficients of Variation have been calculated for the latest period as an indication of the quality of the estimates. See Guide to Quality as follows.

Guide to Quality:

The Coefficient of Variation (CV) indicates the quality of an estimate, the smaller the CV value the higher the quality. The true value is likely to lie within +/- twice the CV—for example, for an estimate of 200 with a CV of 5 per cent. we would expect the population total to be within the range 180-220.

Key Coefficient of Variation (CV) (%) Statistical Robustness

* 0 = CV<5 Estimates are considered precise

** 5 = CV <10 Estimates are considered reasonably precise

*** 10 = CV <20 Estimates are considered acceptable

**** CV 20 Estimates are considered too unreliable for practical purposes

Note:

Zeros represent less than 500.

Source:

Annual Population Survey Household data sets

Table 5: Number of persons employed1 by gender resident in Jarrow constituency, South Tyneside, the North East and the UK in each year since 1997

Thousand

Jarrow

South Tyneside

North East

UK

12 months ending:

Male

Female

Male

Female

Male

Female

Male

Female

February 1997

17

14

28

27

491

458

11,454

10,768

February 1998

14

15

25

27

491

456

11,780

10,939

February 1999

16

16

27

26

488

452

12,005

11,145

February 2000

17

17

25

26

476

460

12,203

11,318

February 2001

22

16

33

27

575

500

14,841

12,493

February 2002

20

18

33

31

569

506

14,984

12,643

February 2003

18

18

31

31

574

508

15,059

12,738

February 2004

19

17

32

29

579

512

15,209

12,847

March 2005

18

17

32

30

597

528

15,384

13,013

March 2006

19

18

34

30

602

535

15,427

13,178

March 2007

19

16

33

29

614

540

15,621

13,291

September 2007

20

17

34

30

618

545

15,691

13,351

March 2008

20

17

35

32

619

545

15,816

13,428

September 20082

***18

***18

***34

***32

*617

*544

*15,848

*13,502

1 Levels of employment are provided for persons aged 16 and over. The figures presented are weighted to population estimates published in 2007.

2 Coefficients of Variation have been calculated for the latest period as an indication of the quality of the estimates. See Guide to Quality as follows.

Guide to Quality:

The Coefficient of Variation (CV) indicates the quality of an estimate, the smaller the CV value the higher the quality. The true value is likely to lie within +/- twice the CV—for example, for an estimate of 200 with a CV of 5 per cent. we would expect the population total to be within the range 180-220.

Key Coefficient of Variation (CV) (%) Statistical Robustness

* 0 = CV<5 Estimates are considered precise

** 5 = CV <10 Estimates are considered reasonably precise

*** 10 = CV <20 Estimates are considered acceptable

**** CV 20 Estimates are considered too unreliable for practical purposes

Source:

Annual Labour Force Survey and Annual Population Survey