The Department for Transport’s latest published forecasts of aircraft movements and terminal passenger numbers at airports in the UK are presented in “UK Air Passenger Demand and CO2 Forecasts”, January 2009. This is available at:
http://www.dft.gov.uk/pgr/aviation/atf/co2forecasts09/
The Department’s latest forecasts of air transport movements are given in table G8, page 141 of “UK Air Passenger Demand and CO2 Forecasts”. The central estimate for the number of air transport movements at London City airport in 2015 is 92,000 an increase of 28,000, or 44 per cent., over the 2010 estimate.
The Department’s latest forecasts for airport terminal passengers are given in table G3, page 135 of “UK Air Passenger Demand and CO2 Forecasts”. The central estimate from the Department’s forecasts for the number of passengers using London City airport in 2015 is 3.7 million passengers per annum (mppa), an increase of 1.4 million passengers, or 68 per cent., over the 2010 estimate.
The above estimates only include scheduled passenger services. The Department has not modelled unscheduled business jet charters and air taxis at London City airport. The model currently underestimates scheduled air traffic movements at London City airport. Table 2.4, page 34 of “UK Air Passenger Demand and CO2 Forecasts” provides a comparison of modelled and actual air transport movements. For larger airports, such as Heathrow and Gatwick, modelled and actual figures are within a couple of per cent. of each other. Moreover, the forecasts in “UK Air Passenger Demand and CO2 Forecasts” fulfil their intended purpose—to inform and monitor long term strategic aviation policy. We currently expect to publish updated aviation forecasts in 2010.
No formal representations have been received on aircraft noise at London City airport. However early next year, the airport will be required to submit a draft strategic noise action plan to the Secretary of State for consideration for formal adoption under the European Environmental Noise Directive (2002/49/EC). If the requirements are met, the Secretary of State for Transport will recommend to the Secretary of State for Environment, Food and Rural Affairs that the action plan should be adopted. The airport is currently conducting a public consultation on its draft noise action plan. This consultation closes on 15 January 2010.
Responsibility for monitoring the noise levels of aircraft operating at London City airport rests with the airport operator. Under local planning agreements with the London borough of Newham, the airport is required to produce noise exposure contours on an annual basis. These are published on the London City airport consultative committee’s website.
The following tables show the number of jet and propeller aircraft arriving and departing London City airport from 1999 to 2008:
Number Jets Propellers Total 1999 8,993 11,746 20,739 2000 8,049 16,460 24,509 2001 7,769 19,123 26,892 2002 6,552 19,932 26,484 2003 6,227 17,800 24,027 2004 7,469 19,134 26,603 2005 10,907 19,448 30,355 2006 12,358 20,728 33,086 2007 19,163 19,475 38,638 2008 24,502 17,514 42,016 Total 111,989 181,360 293,349
Number Jets Propellers Total 1999 8,988 11,758 20,746 2000 8,033 16,462 24,495 2001 7,749 19,122 26,871 2002 6,537 19,935 26,472 2003 6,205 17,787 23,992 2004 7,465 19,131 26,596 2005 10,892 19,446 30,338 2006 12,336 20,707 33,043 2007 19,180 19,456 38,636 2008 24,560 17,498 42,058 Total 111,945 181,302 293,247 Source: Civil Aviation Authority.
The Department for Transport has not had any such discussions.