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Coastal Areas

Volume 504: debated on Monday 18 January 2010

To ask the Secretary of State for Energy and Climate Change what estimate he has made of the area of land in the UK which would be lost in circumstances in which sea levels rose by (a) 20 centimetres, (b) 50 centimetres, (c) one metre and (d) two metres. (310088)

I have been asked to reply.

The Foresight Future Flooding study published in 2004 looked at future risks of flooding and coastal erosion for four different futures over a 100 year period. These “futures” embodied different socio-economic and climate change scenarios with associated assumptions with respect to sea level rise, but they do not correspond to sea levels. No estimate of land loss was made as this would depend on a number of variables. These include the effect of other climate change impacts such as increased storminess, as well as policy and investment on flood and coastal erosion risk management.