The following table shows the Department's latest forecasts of the number of domestic flights from GB airports, with a distance of 360 miles or under, between 2009 and 2015. All these figures, including 2009 and 2010, are forecasts from the aviation model as data are not yet available for these years.
Lifeline flights cannot be excluded from our forecasts as only movements between the 29 largest GB airports are explicitly modelled, which does not include any lifeline flights. A list of modelled airports can be found in annex F of the UK Air Passenger Demand and CO2 Forecasts, published in January 2009. This is available at:
http://www.dft.gov.uk/pgr/aviation/atf/co2forecasts09/
Flights from a modelled airport to a minor airport are included in an ‘other airports in model’ category. This would include some lifeline flights but they cannot be separated out from the other flights in this category. Flights between two minor airports are not included in our modelling.
Flights under 360 miles 2009 248,258 2010 254,242 2011 253,511 2012 250,985 2013 255,465 2014 259,171 2015 259,925 Notes: 1. Data are for departures only. 2. These forecasts refer to the central demand scenario s12s2, with Stansted R2 in 2015 and Heathrow R3 around 2020, as presented in ‘UK Air Passenger Demand and CO2 Forecasts’, January 2009. This is available at: http://www.dft.gov.uk/pgr/aviation/atf/co2forecasts09/ 3. All figures are modelled, including 2009. 4. Distances are Great Circle Distances and no uplift for indirect routing has been applied.
There are no flights within Northern Ireland. The three reporting airports (Belfast International, Belfast City and City of Derry) historically do not have flights between each other.
There are currently no lifeline flight routes from Northern Ireland airports.
Table 1 shows the forecasts of the average distance of flights departing from UK airports between 2009 and 2015. All these figures, including 2009 and 2010, are forecasts from the aviation model as data are not yet available for these years.
Average flight distance (km) 2009 1,558 2010 1,568 2011 1,581 2012 1,588 2013 1,588 2014 1,590 2015 1,592 Notes: 1. Data is for UK departures only. 2. These forecasts refer to the central demand scenario s12s2, with Stansted R2 in 2015 and Heathrow R3 around 2020, as presented in “UK Air Passenger Demand and CO2 Forecasts”, January 2009. This is available at: http://www.dft.gov.uk/pgr/aviation/atf/co2forecasts09/ 3. All figures are modelled, including 2009. 4. Distances are Great Circle Distances uprated by 9 per cent. for indirect routing and stacking.
(2) how many flights, excluding lifeline flights departed from UK airports in (a) 2009 and (b) 2010; and what estimate he has made of the equivalent figure in (i) 2011, (ii) 2012, (iii) 2013, (iv) 2014 and (v) 2015.
Table 1 shows the Department’s latest forecasts of flights from UK airports between 2009 and 2015. All these figures, including 2009 and 2010, are forecasts from the aviation model as data are not yet available for these years.
Number of flights 2009 2,324,695 2010 2,416,328 2011 2,511,165 2012 2,576,932 2013 2,655,016 2014 2,721,096 2015 2,799,069 Notes: 1. Data are for UK departures only. 2. These forecasts refer to the central demand scenario s12s2, with Stansted R2 in 2015 and Heathrow R3 around 2020, as presented in “UK Air Passenger Demand and CO2 Forecasts”, January 2009. This is available at: http://www.dft.gov.uk/pgr/aviation/atf/co2forecasts09/ 3. All figures are modelled, including 2009.
It is not possible to exclude lifeline flights from the forecasts of flights from UK airports contained in table 1.
Only movements between the 31 largest UK airports are explicitly modelled, which does not include any lifeline flights. A list of modelled airports can be found in annex F of the “UK Air Passenger Demand and CO2 Forecasts”, published in January 2009. This is available at:
http://www.dft.gov.uk/pgr/aviation/atf/co2forecasts09/
Flights from a modelled airport to a minor airport are included in an ‘other airports in model’ category. This would include some lifeline flights but they cannot be separated out from the other flights in this category. Flights between two minor airports are not included in our modelling.
The following table shows the proportion of flights departing from reporting UK airports by type.
Exclusively carried cargo Carried cargo with passengers Exclusively carried passengers All departing flights 2006 3 61 36 100 2007 3 60 37 100 2008 3 60 37 100 Notes: 1. Flights by cargo and passenger aircraft. Excludes flights without any recorded cargo or passengers. 2. Carried cargo includes freight and/or mail. 3. Flight departures are based on data from 58 reporting UK airports, including flights from the Isle of Man and Channel Islands. 4. Excludes airlines which did not give permission for CAA to disclose their data. Source: Based on data supplied to DfT by the Civil Aviation Authority.
The Department for Transport does not hold this information.
The following table shows the average number of seats on planes making domestic flights and of all flights departing from reporting UK airports in 2006, 2007 and 2008.
Domestic flight departures All flight departures (domestic and international) 2006 91 139 2007 93 141 2008 93 142 Notes: 1. Flights by passenger aircraft only. 2. Flight departures are based on data from 58 reporting UK airports, including flights from the Isle of Man and Channel Islands. 3. Excludes airlines which did not give permission for CAA to disclose their data. Source: Based on data supplied to DfT by the Civil Aviation Authority.