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Unemployment

Volume 507: debated on Tuesday 9 March 2010

To ask the Minister of State, Department for Business, Innovation and Skills how many people in each ethnic group were not in education, employment or training in each quarter of the last five years. (319901)

The following table gives the number and percentage of people aged1 16 to 24 not in education, employment or training for each ethnic group for every quarter in the last five years. These estimates are from the Labour Force survey.

Please note that these estimates are subject to large sampling variability and should therefore be treated with caution and viewed in conjunction with their confidence intervals2 (CIs, given in Table 2), which indicate how accurate an estimate is. For example, a CI of+/-4.2 percentage points (pp) means that the true value is between 4.2pp above the estimate and 4.2pp below the estimate.

These figures are not seasonally adjusted and therefore adjacent quarters are not directly comparable.

1Age used is the respondents academic age, which is defined as their age at the preceding 31 August.

2 Those given are 95 per cent. confidence intervals.

Table 1: People aged 16 to 24 not in education, employment or training for each ethnic group—England

Number NEET

Percentage NEET

Quarter

Year

Total

White

Mixed

Asian or Asian British

Black or Black British

Other ethnic group

Total

White

Mixed

Asian or Asian British

Black or Black British

Other ethnic group

Q1

2005

743,000

619,000

17,000

62,000

27,000

17,000

13.1

12.7

16.7

16.8

17.0

12.8

Q2

2005

771,000

624,000

20,000

66,000

33,000

26,000

13.5

12.8

18.9

17.6

19.2

16.5

Q3

2005

877,000

718,000

17,000

81,000

33,000

28,000

15.2

14.5

16.0

20.0

20.4

21.3

Q4

2005

837,000

689,000

18,000

72,000

28,000

29,000

14.6

14.0

15.6

18.3

18.2

20.6

Q1

2006

801,000

667,000

14,000

67,000

27,000

27,000

14.0

13.6

13.5

16.5

16.2

18.6

Q2

2006

851,000

704,000

16,000

70,000

31,000

29,000

14.8

14.3

17.4

17.1

18.5

17.1

Q3

2006

969,000

802,000

20,000

88,000

31,000

27,000

16.6

16.0

20.5

21.2

18.1

18.4

Q4

2006

807,000

681,000

16,000

61,000

28,000

20,000

13.8

13.5

16.2

15.5

17.1

13.4

Q1

2007

827,000

691,000

18,000

70,000

25,000

23,000

14.1

13.8

20.0

16.7

15.5

12.7

Q2

2007

833,000

681,000

19,000

76,000

28,000

26,000

14.2

13.7

20.1

18.3

16.5

13.9

Q3

2007

909,000

751,000

17,000

78,000

32,000

29,000

15.4

14.9

18.5

18.1

17.4

17.9

Q4

2007

781,000

645,000

18,000

61,000

31,000

23,000

13.1

12.7

18.5

15.0

17.2

13.8

Q1

2008

809,000

663,000

17,000

67,000

33,000

27,000

13.6

13.1

19.9

15.3

19.3

15.3

Q2

2008

837,000

683,000

17,000

71,000

33,000

32,000

13.9

13.4

16.3

15.7

19.5

17.0

Q3

2008

969,000

792,000

20,000

77,000

38,000

35,000

16.1

15.6

17.9

18.2

20.1

18.2

Q4

2008

854,000

702,000

19,000

70,000

32,000

29,000

14.2

13.8

15.8

16.5

15.4

15.8

Q1

2009

933,000

786,000

21,000

66,000

32,000

24,000

15.5

15.5

16.5

15.9

16.6

12.9

Q2

2009

956,000

815,000

25,000

65,000

30,000

20,000

15.8

15.9

21.4

15.9

15.4

11.1

Q3

2009

1,074,000

897,000

22,000

82,000

53,000

16,000

17.9

17.5

19.5

20.9

25.7

10.9

Q4

2009

895,000

741,000

15,000

79,000

42,000

16,000

14.8

14.5

11.9

17.9

21.4

10.8

Note:

Base: 16 to 24 year olds, England

Source:

Labour Force Survey

Table 2: Confidence intervals for NEET percentages given in Table 1

Confidence intervals

Quarter

Year

Total

White

Mixed

Asian or Asian British

Black or Black British

Other ethnic group

Q1

2005

+/-0.7

+/-0.7

+/- 5.5

+1-2.9

+1-4.6

+/- 4.4

Q2

2005

+1-0.7

+/-0.7

+/-5.7

+/- 3.0

+/-4.7

+/-4.7

Q3

2005

+/-0.7

+/-0.7

+/- 5.4

+/-3A

+/-5.1

+/-5.7

Q4

2005

+/-0.7

+/-0.7

+/- 5.2

+/- 3.0

+/- 4.9

+/- 5.4

Q1

2006

+/-0.7

+/-0.7

+/- 5.2

+/-2.9

+/- 4.5

+/-5.1

Q2

2006

+/-0.7

+/-0.7

+/- 5.9

+/- 2.9

+/-4.7

+/- 4.6

Q3

2006

+/-0.7

+/- 0.8

+/- 6.4

+/- 3.2

+/- 4.8

+/- 5.2

Q4

2006

+/-0.7

+/-0.7

+/- 5.8

+/-2.9

+/- 4.8

+/- 4.5

Q1

2007

+/-0.7

+/-0.7

+/- 6.5

+/- 2.9

+/- 4.5

+/- 4.0

Q2

2007

+/-0.7

+/-0.7

+J-6.5

+/- 3.0

+/-4.6

+/- 4.0

Q3

2007

+1-0.7

+/- 0.8

+/- 6.4

+/- 3.0

+/- 4.5

+/-4.9

Q4

2007

+/-0.7

+/-0.7

+/-6.1

+/- 2.8

+/- 4.4

+/- 4.3

Q1

2008

+/-0.7

+/-0.7

+/- 6.5

+/-2.7

+/- 4.8

+/- 4.3

Q2

2008

+1-0.7

+/-0.7

+/-5.7

+/-2.7

+/-5.0

+/- 4.4

Q3

2008

+/-0.7

+/- 0.8

+/- 6.0

+/-3.1

+/- 4.8

+/- 4.6

Q4

2008

+/-0.7

+/- 0.8

+/- 5.3

+/-2.9

+/-4.1

+/- 4.3

Q1

2009

+/-0.7

+/- 0.8

+/- 5.3

+/- 2.9

+/- 4.4

+/- 4.0

Q2

2009

+/- 0.8

+/- 0.8

+/-6.1

+/- 3.0

+/- 4.3

+/- 3.9

Q3

2009

+/- 0.8

+/- 0.9

+/- 6.0

+/- 3.3

+/-5.1

+/- 4.4

Q4

2009

+/-0.7

+/- 0.8

+/-4.7

+1-2.9

+/- 4.8

+/- 4.2

To ask the Minister of State, Department for Business, Innovation and Skills how many (a) men and (b) women were not in education, employment or training in each quarter of the last five years. (320064)

The following tables show the number and percentage of 16-24 year old men (table 2) and women (table 1) in England who were not in education, employment or training in each quarter of the last five years.

These estimates are taken from the Labour Force survey which, as with any sample survey, is subject to sampling variability. The estimates should therefore be considered along side their confidence intervals (CIs). CIs indicate how accurate an estimate is, for example, a 95 per cent. CI of+/-1.2 percentage points (pp) means that the true value is between 1.2pp above the estimate and 1.2pp below the estimate, for 95 per cent. of estimates.

Table 1: Number and percentage of females aged 16-24 who are not in education, employment or training (NEET).

Quarter

Year

Number of 16-24 year old females

Percentage (of all 16-24 year old females

95 Per cent confidence interval (percentage points)

Q1

2005

432,000

15.5

+/-1.0

Q2

2005

456,000

16.2

+/-1.0

Q3

2005

504,000

17.7

+/-1.J

Q4

2005

462,000

16.3

+/-1.0

Q1

2006

457,000

16.2

+/-1.0

Q2

2006

484,000

17.0

+/-1.0

Q3

2006

554,000

19.4

+/-1.1

Q4

2006

446,000

15.5

+/-1.0

Q1

2007

456,000

15.8

+/-1.0

Q2

2007

474,000

16.4

+/-1.0

Q3

2007

515,000

17.6

+/-1.0

Q4

2007

444,000

15.2

+/-1.0

Q1

2008

452,000

15.5

+/-1.0

Q2

2008

487,000

16.5

+/-1.0

Q3

2008

554,000

18.8

+/-1.1

Q4

2008

491,000

16.5

+/-1.0

Q1

2009

497,000

16.8

+/-1.1

Q2

2009

510,000

17.2

+/-1.1

Q3

2009

565,000

19.2

+/- 1.2

Q4

2009

493,000

16.5

+/-1.1

Table 2: Number and percentage of males aged 16-24 who are not in education, employment or training (NEET)

Quarter

Year

Number of 16-24 year old males NEET

Percentage (of all 16-24 year old males)

95 Per cent. confidence interval (percentage points)

Q1

2005

311,000

10.9

+/- 0.9

Q2

2005

314,000

10.9

+/-0.9

Q3

2005

373,000

12.8

+/-0.9

Q4

2005

376,000

12.9

+/-1.0

QI

2006

344,000

11.8

+/-0.9

Q2

2006

367,000

12.6

+/- 0.9

Q3

2006

415,000

14.0

+/-1.0

Q4

2006

361,000

12.1

+/- 0.9

Q1

2007

371,000

12.5

+/-0.9

Q2

2007

359,000

12.1

+/-0.9

Q3

2007

393,000

13.2

+/- 0.9

Q4

2007

336,000

11.1

+/- 0.9

Q1

2008

357,000

11.8

+/- 0.9

Q2

2008

350,000

11.4

+/-0.9

Q3

2008

415,000

13.6

+/-1.0

Q4

2008

363,000

11.9

+/- 0.9

Q1

2009

437,000

14.3

+/-1.0

Q2

2009

446,000

14.6

+/-1.0

Q3

2009

509,000

16.6

+/-1.1

Q4

2009

403,000

13.2

+/-1.0

To ask the Minister of State, Department for Business, Innovation and Skills how many people were not in education, employment or training in each (a) local authority area and (b) region in each quarter of the last five years. (320078)

The following tables give the number (table 1) and proportion (table 2) of people aged 16 to 241 not in education, employment or training (NEET) for each region in England for every quarter for the last five years. These estimates are from the Labour Force Survey, which has been recently reweighted to revised population estimates and therefore may be marginally different from regional NEET estimates provided previously.

As with any sample survey, the LFS is subject to sampling variability and therefore should be viewed in conjunction with their Confidence Intervals (CI). CIs indicate how accurate an estimate is, and for regional estimates they range from +/- 1.5 to +/- 3.9 percentage points (pp), with an average of+/- 2.2pp. CIs for Q4 2009 have been provided below and a 95 per cent. CI of+A-2.2 percentage points (pp) means that the true value is between 2.2pp above the estimate and 2.2pp below the estimate, for 95 per cent. of estimates.

The Labour Force Survey sample is not large enough to provide quarterly estimates for small geographies such as local authority areas. We are able to give annual estimates for local authorities from the Annual Population Survey, which has a larger sample. The most recent estimate available is for 2008 and I refer the hon. Member to the answer I gave on 6 January 2010, Official Report, column reference 402W which provided estimates for local education authorities between 2000 and 2008.

1 Age used is respondents academic age, which is defined as their age at the preceding 31 August

Table 1: The number of people aged 16-24 who are not in education, employment or training by region

Quarter

North East

North West

York and Humber

East Midlands

West Midlands

East of England

London

South East

South West

Q1

2005

56,000

110,000

89,000

61,000

81,000

60,000

131,000

92,000

63,000

Q2

2005

62,000

117,000

99,000

59,000

88,000

66,000

134,000

85,000

61,000

Q3

2005

68,000

124,000

107,000

67,000

100,000

69,000

156,000

110,000

76,000

Q4

2005

61,000

114,000

107,000

70,000

93,000

77,000

143,000

110,000

63,000

Q1

2006

52,000

118,000

93,000

77,000

90,000

72,000

132,000

105,000

61,000

Q2

2006

52,000

128,000

105,000

76,000

97,000

86,000

141,000

108,000

59,000

Q3

2006

53,000

140,000

118,000

81,000

112,000

93,000

184,000

115,000

74,000

Q4

2006

45,000

120,000

95,000

65,000

96,000

77,000

147,000

93,000

68,000

Q1

2007

48,000

127,000

96,000

72,000

111,000

77,000

118,000

107,000

70,000

Q2

2007

47,000

134,000

92,000

66,000

106,000

84,000

130,000

112,000

61,000

Q3

2007

52,000

144,000

105,000

81,000

111,000

92,000

135,000

125,000

63,000

Q4

2007

49,000

120,000

82,000

70,000

92,000

74,000

122,000

116,000

56,000

Q1

2008

53,000

135,000

75,000

69,000

95,000

87,000

128,000

104,000

62,000

Q2

2008

56,000

138,000

101,000

70,000

98,000

77,000

130,000

111,000

55,000

Q3

2008

65,000

149,000

119,000

86,000

119,000

83,000

146,000

131,000

71,000

Q4

2008

55,000

141,000

92,000

68,000

104,000

80,000

126,000

124,000

64,000

Q1

2009

58,000

156,000

109,000

70,000

125,000

84,000

120,000

132,000

80,000

Q2

2009

68,000

155,000

123,000

76,000

129,000

83,000

111,000

144,000

68,000

Q3

2009

72,000

181,000

130,000

92,000

121,000

93,000

148,000

147,000

89,000

Q4

2009

68,000

139,000

114,000

72,000

103,000

88,000

119,000

119,000

73,000

Q4 2009 CIs (95% PP)

+/-12,000

+/-17,000

+/-15,000

+/-12,000

+/-15,000

+/-14,000

+/-17,000

+/-16,000

+/-13,000

Table 2: The proportion of all people aged 16-24 who are not in education, employment or training by region

Quarter

North East

North West

York and Humber

East Midlands

West Midlands

East of England

London

South East

South West

Q1

2005

18

14

14

12

13

10

16

11

12

Q2

2005

20

15

16

12

14

11

15

10

11

Q3

2005

23

15

17

13

16

12

18

13

14

Q4

2005

19

14

17

14

15

13

17

13

12

Q1

2006

17

15

14

15

15

12

15

12

11

Q2

2006

17

16

16

15

16

14

16

13

11

Q3

2006

17

17

18

16

18

16

21

13

14

Q4

2006

14

14

14

12

15

13

17

10

12

Q1

2007

15

15

14

14

18

13

14

12

13

Q2

2007

15

16

14

13

17

14

15

12

11

Q3

2007

16

17

16

15

18

15

16

14

11

Q4

2007

15

14

12

13

15

12

14

13

10

Q1

2008

16

16

11

13

15

14

15

11

11

Q2

2008

17

16

15

13

16

13

14

12

10

Q3

2008

20

18

18

16

19

13

16

14

13

Q4

2008

17

17

14

13

16

13

15

13

11

Q1

2009

18

19

16

13

20

14

14

14

14

Q2

2009

21

18

18

14

20

13

13

15

12

Q3

2009

22

21

19

17

19

15

17

16

16

Q4

2009

21

16

17

13

16

14

14

13

13

Q4 2009 95% CIs (PP)

+/-3.7

+/- 2.0

+/- 2.2

+/- 2.3

+/- 2.3

+/- 2.2

+/- 2.0

+/- 1.7

+/- 2.2