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Unemployment: Leeds

Volume 508: debated on Wednesday 24 March 2010

To ask the Minister of State, Department for Business, Innovation and Skills what proportion of people in Leeds North West constituency aged (a) between 16 and 18 and (b) between 19 and 24 years have not been in education, employment or training in each year since 1997. (319501)

Estimates are available at local education authority (LEA) level for 16 to 24-year-olds1 not in education, employment or training (NEET), using the Annual Population Survey (APS). These are given from 2000 to 2008 in table 1. Due to small sample sizes we are unable to produce reliable estimates for geographies smaller than LEA, or for small age groups from the APS. Due to incomplete data, estimates are not available prior to 2000.

Please note that the estimates in table 1 are subject to large sampling variability and should therefore be treated with caution and viewed in conjunction with their confidence intervals2 (CIs), which indicate how accurate an estimate is. For example, a CI of +/-3.0 percentage points (pp) means that the true value is between 3.0 pp above the estimate and 3.0 pp below the estimate.

We are able to provide estimates for 16 to 18-year-olds NEET from records maintained by Connexions services. Table 2 shows the number and percentage of 16 to 18-year-olds not in education, employment or training in Leeds local authority from 2006 to 2008. These data are not directly comparable with the figures given in table 1 or the annual estimate of the proportion of 16 to 18-year-olds NEET in England published annually by DCSF. Connexions data are not available at this level of detail for years before 2006.

Reliable estimates cannot be provided at parliamentary constituency level for any age grouping from either this data or other sources. No data are available at local authority level for 19 to 24-year-olds.

1 Age used is the respondents academic age, which is defined as their age at the preceding 31 August.

2 Those given are 95 per cent. confidence intervals.

Table 1: People aged 16 to 24 not in education, employment or training in Leeds LEA

NEET

Number

Percentage

Confidence intervals

2000

6,000

7.4

+/-3.0

2001

9,000

9.9

+/-3.3

2002

7,000

8.0

+/-3.0

2003

10,000

10.3

+/-3.3

2004

11,000

10.2

+/-3.3

2005

19,000

15.2

+/-3.8

2006

11,000

9.7

+/-3.3

2007

16,000

13.1

+/-3.6

2008

20,000

15.5

+/-3.7

Note:

Data for 2000 to 2003 are from the Annual Local Area Labour Force Survey, the predecessor to the Annual Population Survey, and covers the period from March of the given year to the following February.

Source:

Annual Population Survey

Table 2: People aged 16 to 18 not in education, employment or training in Leeds LANEETNumberPercentage20062,1709.120072,38010.020082,3209.5 Notes:1. Estimates are an average of the figures provided to Connexions at the end of November, December and January. They include all young people known to Connexions who were aged 16, 17 or 18 on these dates.2. The number of 16 to 18-year-olds known to Connexions includes those whose education establishment is located in the local authority area, regardless of where the young person resides.3. 16 to 18-year-olds known to be undertaking a gap year, or in custody, are not recorded by Connexions as NEET.4. The number and percentage of 16 to 18-year-olds NEET have been adjusted to assume a proportion of those whose current activity is not known are NEET.5. The figures above cannot be compared with DCSF’s headline measure of proportion of young people NEET. The headline measure uses a range of data from different sources to estimate the proportion of the population that is NEET, and relate to the young person’s academic age.