asked Her Majesty's Government:

Whether they plan to re-examine the range of climate models used by the Hadley Centre for assessing UKCIP02 options to include models from other European Union countries; and, if so, which other models will be examined. [HL3615]

The UKCIP02 national climate scenarios, published in 2002, were based on projections of future climate change using the Met Office Hadley Centre climate model. There are no plans to re-examine the range of climate models used by the Met Office for assessing UKCIP02. However, the next set of scenarios, UKCIP08, due to be published in 2008, will be based on projections from the Met Office model, augmented by results from other models around the world, including Europe.

Other models that will be used are:

France

ISPL model at Institut Pierre Simon Laplace

Russia

INM-CM3.0 model at Institute for Numerical Mathematics

USA

UIUC model at University of Illinois

CCSM3.0 model at National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR)

Japan

MIROC-medres medium-resolution model at Center for Climate System Research (University of Tokyo), National Institute for Environmental Studies, and Frontier Research Center for Global Change (JAMSTEC)

MRI-CGCM2.3.2 model at Meteorological Research Unit

Canada

CGCM3.1 T63 model at Canadian Center for Climate Modelling and Analysis

Australia

CSIRO-MK3.0 model at Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation (CSIRO).

There is potential also to include:

Germany

MPI ECHAM5—Max Planck Institute

USA

GFDL AM-2 model at Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory

NCAR PCM—National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR) parallel climate model

NASA GISS—Goddard Institute for Space Studies

Japan

MIROC-hires high-resolution model at Center for Climate System Research (University of Tokyo), National Institute for Environmental Studies, and Frontier Research Center for Global Change (JAMSTEC).