asked Her Majesty's Government:
Whether they plan to re-examine the range of climate models used by the Hadley Centre for assessing UKCIP02 options to include models from other European Union countries; and, if so, which other models will be examined. [HL3615]
The UKCIP02 national climate scenarios, published in 2002, were based on projections of future climate change using the Met Office Hadley Centre climate model. There are no plans to re-examine the range of climate models used by the Met Office for assessing UKCIP02. However, the next set of scenarios, UKCIP08, due to be published in 2008, will be based on projections from the Met Office model, augmented by results from other models around the world, including Europe.
Other models that will be used are:
ISPL model at Institut Pierre Simon Laplace
INM-CM3.0 model at Institute for Numerical Mathematics
UIUC model at University of Illinois
CCSM3.0 model at National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR)
MIROC-medres medium-resolution model at Center for Climate System Research (University of Tokyo), National Institute for Environmental Studies, and Frontier Research Center for Global Change (JAMSTEC)
MRI-CGCM2.3.2 model at Meteorological Research Unit
CGCM3.1 T63 model at Canadian Center for Climate Modelling and Analysis
CSIRO-MK3.0 model at Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation (CSIRO).
There is potential also to include:
MPI ECHAM5—Max Planck Institute
GFDL AM-2 model at Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory
NCAR PCM—National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR) parallel climate model
NASA GISS—Goddard Institute for Space Studies
MIROC-hires high-resolution model at Center for Climate System Research (University of Tokyo), National Institute for Environmental Studies, and Frontier Research Center for Global Change (JAMSTEC).