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Prisons: Population

Volume 706: debated on Tuesday 16 December 2008

Question

Asked by

To ask Her Majesty's Government what projections they have of the prison population over the next 10 years; and what plans they have to respond to those projections. [HL31]

The latest projections for the prison population were published on 18 September, in the Ministry of Justice statistics bulletin Prison Population Projections 2008-15. The projections estimate the demand for prison places for the next seven years in three different scenarios. Under these scenarios, the prison population (at the end of June) is projected to be:

Year

High

Medium

Low

2009

85,100

84,300

83,300

2010

88,100

86,400

84,400

2011

90,500

87,900

85,100

2012

92,100

88,700

85,000

2013

93,000

88,600

84,100

2014

94,200

89,000

83,600

2015

95,800

89,700

83,400

We are responding to expected rises in the prison population by pursuing an extensive building programme, which is designed to increase capacity in the prison estate to 96,000 places by 2014. We have also taken a number of measures, recommended by Lord Carter in his review of prisons and enacted in the Criminal Justice and Immigration Act 2008, to ensure that the use of custody is better focused on those serious, dangerous and seriously persistent offenders for whom it is appropriate and necessary.