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Energy: Supply Forecast

Volume 716: debated on Thursday 14 January 2010

Question

Asked by

To ask Her Majesty's Government what forecast they have made of the demand for and supply of energy between 2015 and 2020. [HL546]

It is assumed that the question refers to future UK demand and supply. The latest energy projections are those published as part of the Low Carbon Transition Plan, July 2009. The table shows the central case projection of UK total primary energy demand by fuel for the years 2015 to 2020. The total supply of each fuel will equal total demand.

UK Primary Energy Demand, Million Tonnes of Oil Equivalent

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

2020

Solids

30.6

29.0

26.9

28.5

26.1

24.7

Oil

80.7

80.3

79.9

79.5

79.0

78.6

Natural gas

79.0

76.9

76.9

71.9

70.6

66.1

Renewables

14.3

16.9

19.0

21.5

24.1

27.2

Primary

10.7

10.0

7.4

7.0

6.1

7.6

Electricity

0.8

0.8

0.8

0.8

0.8

0.8

Total

216.2

213.9

210.9

209.2

206.7

205.0

All renewable energy is included within the renewable category, whereas by normal statistical convention, primary renewable energy sources (eg wind, wave) would be included within “primary electricity”. Figures shown in the “electricity” category represent net electricity imports.