The full results of the MARKAL-macro modelling for the Energy White Paper and are available at: http://www.berr.gov.uk/files/file38979.pdf. The assumptions used for solar photovoltaic power in the MARKAL-macro modelling were provided by AEA Technology and are shown in the following table. The capacity value factors vary according to the season so figures for summer and winter days have been provided. The figures in the final column show the estimated final production cost after taking account of capital cost, capacity factor, operation and maintenance costs and equipment lifetime. The capital costs are assumed to decline over time as a result of technological learning.
Technology description First year available Capacity factor (percentage) Cap cost (£/kW) O and M (fix) (£/kW) Life (years) Costs (p/kWh) Solar PV (summer day) 2000 19.5 5,750 58 20 42.9 Solar PV (summer day) 2050 19.5 1,386 14 20 10.3 Solar PV (winter day) 2000 7.0 5,750 58 20 119.5 Solar PV (winter day) 2050 7.0 1,386 14 20 28.8